F — Ford Motor Company

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates F Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 29, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction29
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ford Motor Company

Ford Motor Company develops, delivers, and services Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit segments. The company sells Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles, electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital servi… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.00
Market Cap$54.23B
Float3.87B
Shares Outstanding3.91B
P/E (Forward)8.08
Price/Sales (TTM)0.29
vs. Analyst Target+6.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.74%
Revenue (TTM)$189.86B
Earnings Growth (YoY)430.80%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$14.95 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $127.14B -$1.28B $12.72B $2.88B
2021 $136.34B $17.94B $24.55B $25.54B
2022 $158.06B -$1.98B $25.10B $4.74B
2023 $176.19B $4.35B $25.64B $5.46B
2024 $184.99B $5.88B $23.41B $14.21B
2025 $187.27B -$8.18B $22.81B -$4.58B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $50.18B -$36.0M
Sep 2025 $50.53B $2.45B
Dec 2025 $45.89B -$11.06B
Mar 2026 $43.25B $2.55B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership67.6%
Short Float2.9%
% of All Funds Holding19.39%
Number of Funds Holding1,594

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$13.30Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$11.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.03Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.65Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.10Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.98Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.10 support 1.15x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.08% 0.00% 43.80% 8.70% -13.68%
1 Day -0.58% -0.38% 42.15% 12.16% -18.36%
1 Week -0.45% -0.77% 42.98% 25.21% -21.80%
2 Weeks -0.29% -1.01% 44.63% 26.05% -25.90%
1 Month -1.04% -2.48% 42.50% 43.56% -35.73%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.5%52.9%51
Feb-0.2%45.1%51
Mar1.9%56.9%51
Apr5.8%62.7%51
May1.4%49.0%51
Jun0.4%60.8%51
Jul0.3%40.0%50
Aug-2.0%36.0%50
Sep-1.1%44.0%50
Oct-0.6%50.0%50
Nov2.3%56.0%50
Dec1.0%58.8%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.14% 50.6% 2390
Tuesday 0.08% 48.3% 2592
Wednesday 0.09% 46.9% 2593
Thursday -0.06% 44.4% 2543
Friday -0.04% 44.3% 2528

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 67.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

Founder-led management: William Clay Ford Jr. (Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$1.9M
Net Shares Change829,196
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
FORD WILLIAM CLAY JR Executive Chair and Chair +$1.9M 1 1 buy
THORNTON JOHN L +$248,068.98 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-24 THORNTON JOHN L +$148,880.18 Transaction at $14.05, now -0.3%
2026-02-23 FORD WILLIAM CLAY JR Executive Chair and Chair +$1.9M Transaction at $13.82, now +1.3%
2025-11-18 THORNTON JOHN L +$99,188.8 Transaction at $13.19, now +6.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ford Motor Company (F) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for F on Trend Edge →