PED — PEDEVCO Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PED Bearish with a Setup Score of 54, net conviction 61, actionability 47. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score54
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction61
Actionability47 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About PEDEVCO Corp

PEDEVCO Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas company in the United States. It engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas assets. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.40
Market Cap$162M
Float1.5M
Shares Outstanding13.3M
P/E (Forward)13.37
Price/Sales (TTM)2.10
vs. Analyst Target+57.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-46.78%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.67%
Revenue (TTM)$77.2M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-82.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$18.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.1M -$32.7M -$7.7M -$21.3M
2021 $15.9M -$1.3M $2.5M $6.2M
2022 $30.0M $2.8M $8.5M $14.1M
2023 $30.8M $264,000 $10.1M $15.0M
2024 $39.6M $17.8M $11.2M $20.8M
2025 $45.8M -$10.4M $26.6M $17.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $7.0M -$1.7M
Sep 2025 $7.0M -$325,000
Dec 2025 $23.1M -$8.5M
Mar 2026 $40.2M -$25.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership37.2%
Institutional Ownership53.4%
Short Float2.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.17%
Number of Funds Holding14

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$13.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.67Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.29Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.70 resistance 1.46x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (60 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.71% 0.00% 41.67% 49.93% -9.54%
1 Day -1.36% -1.69% 33.33% 29.91% -26.65%
1 Week -3.70% -4.22% 28.33% 44.86% -35.15%
2 Weeks 10.66% -3.01% 35.00% 772.20% -40.00%
1 Month 24.41% -3.35% 36.67% 815.53% -43.53%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026 (32 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan12.6%60.9%23
Feb0.3%43.5%23
Mar3.8%39.1%23
Apr-2.7%26.1%23
May-2.4%43.5%23
Jun30.3%45.8%24
Jul-0.9%39.1%23
Aug9.2%56.5%23
Sep2.5%39.1%23
Oct-8.5%26.1%23
Nov-4.7%26.1%23
Dec-9.6%26.1%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 31.3% 1093
Tuesday -0.04% 36.3% 1198
Wednesday 1.18% 38.6% 1198
Thursday 0.77% 39.4% 1173
Friday 0.72% 38.2% 1167

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 53.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 37.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$357,090.177
Net Shares Change-177,110
% of Float-11.7%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Clark Moore Executive VP -$302,377.765 2 1 sell
Willsher Martyn +$288,724 1 1 buy
Schick John Douglas President and CEO -$30,399.696 1 N/A
Crook Jody D. CHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER -$15,650.615 1 N/A
PINKSTON PAUL ANTHONY CAO -$8,662.1 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-25 – 2025-11-25 4 4 -$81,300.593 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-02 Clark Moore Executive VP -$275,789.584 Transaction at $14.67, now -22.3%
2026-05-27 Willsher Martyn +$288,724 Transaction at $14.44, now -21.0%
2025-11-25 Crook Jody D. CHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER -$15,650.615 Transaction at $0.46, now +2399.5%
2025-11-25 PINKSTON PAUL ANTHONY CAO -$8,662.1 Transaction at $0.46, now +2400.5%
2025-11-25 Clark Moore Executive VP -$26,588.181 Transaction at $0.46, now +2401.1%
2025-11-25 Schick John Douglas President and CEO -$30,399.696 Transaction at $0.46, now +2400.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for PEDEVCO Corp (PED) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PED on Trend Edge →