OXM — Oxford Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OXM Bearish with a Setup Score of 59, net conviction 39, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score59
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction39
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Oxford Industries Inc

Oxford Industries, Inc., an apparel company, designs, sources, markets, and distributes lifestyle products worldwide. The company offers men's and women's sportswear and related products under the Tommy Bahama brand; and women's and girls' dresses and sportswear, scarves, bags, jewelry, and belts, as well as children's apparel, swim, footwear, and licensed products under the Lilly Pulitzer brand. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$36.75
Market Cap$552M
Float14.3M
Shares Outstanding14.9M
P/E (Forward)9.53
Price/Sales (TTM)0.37
vs. Analyst Target+8.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.71%
Revenue (TTM)$1.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-41.20%
Dividend Rate2.8%
Analyst Target Price$40.00 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $749M -$95.7M $415M -$83.8M
2022 $1.14B $131M $706M $205M
2023 $1.41B $166M $889M $266M
2024 $1.57B $60.7M $996M $145M
2025 $1.52B $93.0M $955M $187M
2026 $1.48B -$27.9M $832M $79.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $403M $16.7M
Nov 2025 $307M -$63.7M
Feb 2026 $374M -$7.1M
May 2026 $391M $15.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.7%
Institutional Ownership117.7%
Short Float21.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.17%
Number of Funds Holding178

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$39.64Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$38.49Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$46.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$77.46Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$38.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$46.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$71.89Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$43.00 resistance 1.53x 0 months ago
$53.00 resistance 1.45x 12 months ago
$59.00 resistance 1.50x 14 months ago
$85.00 resistance 1.29x 20 months ago
$105.00 resistance 1.26x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (115 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.47% -0.54% 45.22% 16.46% -19.90%
1 Day 0.07% -0.25% 48.70% 33.67% -21.24%
1 Week 0.58% -0.40% 48.70% 38.46% -21.14%
2 Weeks 1.11% 0.57% 50.43% 60.34% -21.89%
1 Month 1.69% -0.10% 48.25% 90.78% -31.09%

Next earnings: August 29, 2026 (47 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.4%52.2%46
Feb1.2%58.7%46
Mar4.1%63.0%46
Apr3.3%55.3%47
May1.1%46.8%47
Jun0.4%59.6%47
Jul1.4%47.8%46
Aug1.0%54.3%46
Sep0.9%45.7%46
Oct-0.1%52.2%46
Nov2.5%56.5%46
Dec-0.2%41.3%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 43.4% 2206
Tuesday 0.15% 46.0% 2394
Wednesday 0.04% 43.7% 2392
Thursday 0.05% 44.6% 2346
Friday 0.05% 44.6% 2330

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 117.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$279,964.526
Net Shares Change7,818
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Chubb Thomas Caldecot III CEO and President +$279,964.526 3 3 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-12 Chubb Thomas Caldecot III CEO and President +$92,250 Transaction at $36.90, now -0.4%
2025-08-04 Chubb Thomas Caldecot III CEO and President +$12,129.526 Transaction at $38.19, now -3.8%
2025-12-12 Chubb Thomas Caldecot III CEO and President +$175,585 Transaction at $35.12, now +4.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Oxford Industries Inc (OXM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OXM on Trend Edge →