ORI — Old Republic International Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Old Republic International Corp

Old Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance underwriting and related services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Specialty Insurance and Title Insurance. The Specialty Insurance segment provides lines of coverages, such as accident and health, aviation, commercial auto, commercial multi-peril, commercial property, cyber, environmental, excess and surplus, home and auto warranty, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$38.37
Market Cap$9.66B
Float241.8M
Shares Outstanding243.6M
P/E (Forward)11.43
P/E (TTM)9.77
Price/Sales (TTM)1.03
vs. Analyst Target+9.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.98%
Revenue (TTM)$9.42B
Earnings Growth (YoY)34.70%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$42.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.17B $559M $7.17B $557M
2021 $9.34B $1.53B $9.34B $1.78B
2022 $8.08B $686M $5.66B $924M
2023 $7.26B $599M $7.26B $599M
2024 $8.23B $853M $5.21B $1.15B
2025 $9.09B $936M $4.58B $1.24B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.21B $204M
Sep 2025 $2.42B $280M
Dec 2025 $2.34B $207M
Mar 2026 $2.40B $330M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.6%
Institutional Ownership79.4%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding7.46%
Number of Funds Holding613

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$39.92Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$41.55Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$39.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$32.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$41.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$39.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$34.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$42.00 resistance 1.27x 1 months ago
$29.90 support 1.04x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.15% 54.47% 5.66% -13.64%
1 Day -0.04% 0.24% 52.85% 11.95% -18.18%
1 Week 0.97% 0.71% 57.72% 20.54% -17.59%
2 Weeks 1.60% 1.66% 66.67% 20.98% -12.23%
1 Month 2.40% 1.98% 62.30% 26.79% -16.29%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.2%52.2%46
Feb1.9%63.0%46
Mar1.9%52.2%46
Apr1.5%68.1%47
May0.9%50.0%46
Jun-0.5%47.8%46
Jul1.4%47.8%46
Aug0.7%54.3%46
Sep0.4%52.2%46
Oct-0.5%45.7%46
Nov3.0%71.7%46
Dec1.7%58.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 45.0% 2200
Tuesday 0.10% 47.3% 2389
Wednesday 0.06% 48.0% 2386
Thursday 0.00% 45.3% 2340
Friday 0.12% 46.6% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 79.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$2.2M
Net Shares Change-23,161
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MONROE CAROLYN SVP - Title Insurance -$1.9M 4 4 sell
OBERST STEPHEN J Executive Vice President -$338,512.03 1 1 sell
Risch Therace +$110,955.8 3 3 buy
Smith John Eric +$48,916.571 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-05 Risch Therace +$11,970 Transaction at $39.90, now -3.8%
2026-03-04 Smith John Eric +$48,916.571 Transaction at $43.10, now -11.0%
2026-05-14 MONROE CAROLYN SVP - Title Insurance -$856,032.051 Transaction at $33.25, now +15.4%
2025-11-04 Risch Therace +$39,135.8 Transaction at $39.14, now -2.0%
2025-09-04 Risch Therace +$59,850 Transaction at $39.90, now -3.8%
2026-02-04 MONROE CAROLYN SVP - Title Insurance -$295,478.885 Transaction at $33.25, now +15.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Old Republic International Corp (ORI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ORI on Trend Edge →