NTGR — NETGEAR Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NTGR Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 24, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About NETGEAR Inc

NETGEAR, Inc. provides networking technologies for businesses, homes, and service providers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates in two segments, Enterprise and Consumer. It offers Wi-Fi routers and home Wi-Fi mesh systems, Wi-Fi hotspots, broadband modems, Wi-Fi gateways, Wi-Fi range extenders, powerline adapters, and Wi-Fi network adapters; and provides value-added service offerings, inclu… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$21.39
Market Cap$573M
Float24.9M
Shares Outstanding27.2M
P/E (Forward)217.39
Price/Sales (TTM)0.83
vs. Analyst Target+63.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.71%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.40%
Revenue (TTM)$694M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-68.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$35.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.26B $58.3M $372M $94.5M
2021 $1.17B $49.4M $366M $79.4M
2022 $932M -$69.0M $251M -$23.8M
2023 $741M -$105M $249M -$33.3M
2024 $674M $12.4M $196M -$65.8M
2025 $693M -$32.8M $251M -$17.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $185M -$4.8M
Dec 2025 $176M -$15.6M
Mar 2026 $159M -$13.0M
Jun 2026 $169M -$7.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.0%
Institutional Ownership98.2%
Short Float8.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.14%
Number of Funds Holding188

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$22.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.43Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$25.46Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$20.41Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.45Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.65Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.92Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$20.00 support 1.02x 21 months ago
$16.70 support 1.87x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (92 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.45% -1.73% 42.39% 25.82% -17.14%
1 Day -0.42% -2.38% 43.48% 27.98% -23.61%
1 Week -0.52% -0.98% 44.57% 34.10% -28.21%
2 Weeks -0.77% -3.69% 41.30% 36.42% -23.47%
1 Month 0.06% -1.11% 48.35% 51.77% -28.41%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.9%39.1%23
Feb-4.3%21.7%23
Mar1.4%60.9%23
Apr0.2%43.5%23
May1.6%65.2%23
Jun-2.4%47.8%23
Jul4.8%65.2%23
Aug2.5%73.9%23
Sep0.5%43.5%23
Oct2.0%43.5%23
Nov2.4%60.9%23
Dec4.1%65.2%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 52.1% 1088
Tuesday 0.09% 51.9% 1192
Wednesday 0.00% 49.6% 1192
Thursday 0.01% 50.1% 1167
Friday 0.10% 49.7% 1163

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$1.0M
Net Shares Change-77,878
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Badjate Pramod President & GM, NFB -$966,592.37 4 N/A
Maiorino Bradley -$460,601.38 1 N/A
Goli Shravan -$459,132.417 3 N/A
Durr Laura -$78,639.9 1 N/A
Butterfass Sarah -$72,737.6 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-03 – 2026-06-03 3 3 -$242,278.728

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-03 Goli Shravan -$90,901.228 Transaction at $26.89, now -20.4%
2026-08-04 Badjate Pramod President & GM, NFB -$275,540.5 Transaction at $24.02, now -10.9%
2026-06-03 Durr Laura -$78,639.9 Transaction at $26.21, now -18.4%
2026-06-03 Butterfass Sarah -$72,737.6 Transaction at $26.90, now -20.5%
2026-05-04 Badjate Pramod President & GM, NFB -$367,166.62 Transaction at $25.37, now -15.7%
2025-10-14 Maiorino Bradley -$460,601.38 Transaction at $35.26, now -39.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NETGEAR Inc (NTGR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NTGR on Trend Edge →