NCMI — National CineMedia Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About National CineMedia Inc

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. The company engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other fo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.03
Market Cap$281M
Float65.3M
Shares Outstanding93.8M
P/E (Forward)74.63
Price/Sales (TTM)1.16
vs. Analyst Target+73.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)-77.65%
Revenue (TTM)$242M
Earnings Growth (YoY)20.80%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$5.25 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $90.4M -$65.4M $46.9M $129M
2021 $115M -$48.7M $37.7M -$18.0M
2022 $249M -$28.7M $131M $45.0M
2023 $165M $705M $85.1M $750M
2024 $241M -$22.3M $72.8M $22.0M
2025 $243M -$10.6M $73.8M $24.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $51.8M -$10.7M
Sep 2025 $63.4M $1.6M
Dec 2025 $93.2M $29.3M
Mar 2026 $34.0M -$28.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership92.7%
Short Float10.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.13%
Number of Funds Holding93

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.24Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.80Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.80Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.85Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.95Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.59Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.50 resistance 1.00x 1 months ago
$5.40 resistance 1.01x 10 months ago
$6.70 resistance 1.49x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.47% -0.62% 37.18% 22.75% -29.01%
1 Day -1.57% -2.35% 39.74% 27.91% -26.11%
1 Week 0.46% -0.33% 46.15% 66.50% -33.02%
2 Weeks 0.40% -2.23% 37.66% 258.33% -43.18%
1 Month 0.10% -0.94% 45.45% 141.67% -60.38%

Next earnings: July 31, 2026 (64 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%36.8%19
Feb2.5%57.9%19
Mar-6.5%35.0%20
Apr4.8%45.0%20
May-2.4%52.6%19
Jun-1.2%63.2%19
Jul2.7%42.1%19
Aug-0.5%36.8%19
Sep2.7%57.9%19
Oct-6.7%31.6%19
Nov0.9%47.4%19
Dec-0.3%52.6%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 47.6% 911
Tuesday 0.00% 46.0% 997
Wednesday 0.10% 47.6% 995
Thursday -0.16% 43.8% 976
Friday -0.02% 47.7% 973

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings25
Net Value-$1.9M
Net Shares Change297,762
% of Float0.5%
C-Suite Filings24
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lesinski Thomas F. Chief Executive Officer -$523,887.888 4 4 sell
Ng Ronnie Y. Chief Financial Officer -$224,543.71 3 3 sell
Woods Maria VG Chief Legal Officer -$90,844.128 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-02 – 2025-07-02 4 4 -$325,743.968 4 C-suite
2025-09-18 – 2025-10-02 6 4 -$467,460.438 6 C-suite
2025-12-30 – 2025-12-30 3 3 -$264,057.09 3 C-suite
2026-04-02 – 2026-04-02 3 3 -$331,709.6 3 C-suite
2026-05-05 – 2026-05-05 3 3 -$133,082.736 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-05 Woods Maria VG Chief Legal Officer -$18,986.218 Transaction at $3.45, now -12.1%
2026-05-05 Ng Ronnie Y. Chief Financial Officer -$44,544.72 Transaction at $3.45, now -12.1%
2026-04-02 Woods Maria VG EVP - General Counsel -$36,680.64 Transaction at $3.04, now -0.3%
2026-04-02 Ng Ronnie Y. Chief Financial Officer -$98,344 Transaction at $3.04, now -0.3%
2026-05-05 Lesinski Thomas F. Chief Executive Officer -$69,551.798 Transaction at $3.45, now -12.1%
2026-04-02 Lesinski Thomas F. Chief Executive Officer -$196,684.96 Transaction at $3.04, now -0.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for National CineMedia Inc (NCMI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NCMI on Trend Edge →