MXC — Mexco Energy Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MXC Bearish with a Setup Score of 89, net conviction 64, actionability 124. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score89
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction64
Actionability124 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Mexco Energy Corporation

Mexco Energy Corporation, an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, condensate, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company owns partial interests in wells located in the states of Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Louisiana, Alabama, Arkansas, Wyoming, Kansas, Colorado, Montana, Virginia, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Ohio. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.36
Market Cap$17.1M
Float844K
Shares Outstanding2.0M
P/E (Forward)15.77
P/E (TTM)13.06
Price/Sales (TTM)2.61
Profit Margin19.90%
Operating Margin (TTM)29.77%
Revenue (TTM)$6.6M
Earnings Growth (YoY)9.20%
Dividend Rate0.1%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $2.8M $155,932 $1.0M $1.1M
2022 $6.6M $2.9M $4.0M $4.3M
2023 $9.6M $4.7M $6.0M $6.7M
2024 $6.6M $1.3M $3.1M $4.0M
2025 $7.4M $1.7M $3.3M $4.5M
2026 $6.6M $1.3M $2.6M $4.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.8M $241,951
Sep 2025 $1.7M $323,506
Dec 2025 $1.4M $50,245
Mar 2026 $1.6M -$615,702

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership65.0%
Institutional Ownership14.8%
Short Float0.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.17%
Number of Funds Holding14

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.56Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.41Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.36Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.34Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.39Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.90 resistance 1.54x 0 months ago
$6.80 support 4.88x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (91 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.51% 0.31% 52.75% 13.76% -11.16%
1 Day 0.26% -0.18% 34.07% 30.83% -20.47%
1 Week 0.56% -0.79% 39.56% 71.15% -27.15%
2 Weeks -0.48% -2.07% 37.78% 97.76% -40.70%
1 Month 1.34% -1.30% 45.56% 75.00% -40.23%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (28 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%46.9%32
Feb-1.1%35.5%31
Mar4.4%35.5%31
Apr3.5%37.5%32
May41.2%40.6%32
Jun6.5%57.6%33
Jul-3.5%28.1%32
Aug-0.3%31.3%32
Sep0.3%46.9%32
Oct-1.6%37.5%32
Nov-1.7%34.4%32
Dec3.1%50.0%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.24% 29.5% 1521
Tuesday -0.05% 30.3% 1662
Wednesday 0.41% 32.2% 1662
Thursday 0.43% 28.6% 1629
Friday 0.27% 30.5% 1622

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 14.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 65.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-5,000
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DECKER THOMAS H -$70,375 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-09 DECKER THOMAS H -$70,375 Transaction at $14.07, now -40.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mexco Energy Corporation (MXC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MXC on Trend Edge →