MTR — Mesa Royalty Trust

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Mesa Royalty Trust

Mesa Royalty Trust owns overriding royalty interests in various oil and gas producing properties in the United States. It holds interests in oil and gas properties located in the Hugoton field of Kansas; and the San Juan Basin field of northwestern New Mexico and southwestern Colorado. Mesa Royalty Trust was founded in 1979 and is based in Houston, Texas.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.81
Market Cap$6.9M
Float1.9M
Shares Outstanding1.9M
P/E (Forward)19.69
P/E (TTM)16.13
Price/Sales (TTM)10.13
Profit Margin74.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)90.41%
Revenue (TTM)$682,738
Earnings Growth (YoY)132.90%
Dividend Rate0.3%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $832,149 $565,750 $832,149 -$40.4M
2021 $908,160 $756,836 $908,160 $756,836
2022 $4.1M $3.7M $4.1M $3.8M
2023 $3.4M $2.9M $3.2M $2.9M
2024 $746,019 $462,956 $590,764 $530,465
2025 $601,840 $510,906 $601,840 $430,008

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $220,855 $195,817
Sep 2025 $150,149 $72,000
Dec 2025 $160,596 $162,090
Mar 2026 $69,641 $601

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership30.7%
Short Float0.2%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.52Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.38Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.43Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.65Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (106 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.08% 0.00% 42.45% 7.62% -11.17%
1 Day -0.01% 0.14% 54.72% 19.21% -23.53%
1 Week 0.65% 0.00% 49.06% 38.42% -19.17%
2 Weeks -1.17% -0.46% 46.23% 25.62% -36.05%
1 Month -0.72% -0.33% 46.23% 42.28% -53.41%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (71 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%57.4%47
Feb-1.9%40.4%47
Mar1.4%53.2%47
Apr2.5%57.4%47
May1.3%41.3%46
Jun-0.7%41.3%46
Jul-1.8%41.3%46
Aug1.2%56.5%46
Sep-1.3%43.5%46
Oct-0.2%45.7%46
Nov1.3%46.8%47
Dec-1.3%48.9%47

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 38.6% 2221
Tuesday -0.08% 37.8% 2408
Wednesday 0.06% 38.5% 2408
Thursday 0.05% 39.9% 2361
Friday 0.08% 38.8% 2348

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 30.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTR on Trend Edge →