MNTK — Montauk Renewables Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Montauk Renewables Inc

Montauk Renewables, Inc., a renewable energy company, engages in recovery and processing of biogas from landfills and other non-fossil fuel sources. It operates in two segments, Renewable Natural Gas and Renewable Electricity Generation. The company develops, owns, and operates renewable natural gas (RNG) and renewable electricity projects. It captures methane, prevents it from being released into the atmosphere, and converts it into either RNG o… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.62
Market Cap$209M
Float65.5M
Shares Outstanding142.3M
P/E (Forward)5.58
P/E (TTM)147.00
Price/Sales (TTM)1.16
vs. Analyst Target+9.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue (TTM)$180M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-69.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$1.77 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $100M $4.6M $38.6M $25.1M
2021 $148M -$4.5M $70.0M $25.4M
2022 $206M $35.2M $104M $65.7M
2023 $175M $14.9M $80.3M $45.1M
2024 $176M $9.7M $77.6M $41.0M
2025 $176M $1.7M $68.8M $34.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $45.1M -$5.5M
Sep 2025 $45.3M $5.2M
Dec 2025 $43.4M $2.5M
Mar 2026 $46.4M $5,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership69.5%
Institutional Ownership17.0%
Short Float1.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.01%
Number of Funds Holding83

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.37Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.70Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.31Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.05Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.70Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.45Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.76Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.50 resistance 1.52x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.01% -2.12% 40.91% 9.91% -20.93%
1 Day -6.21% -5.60% 31.82% 11.19% -36.82%
1 Week -3.90% -6.94% 31.82% 16.53% -23.51%
2 Weeks -2.71% -8.37% 36.36% 28.02% -18.73%
1 Month -0.93% -6.50% 42.86% 40.88% -31.04%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.14% 45.0% 249
Tuesday -0.05% 45.1% 277
Wednesday 0.31% 52.0% 275
Thursday 0.23% 50.7% 268
Friday -0.58% 43.0% 270

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 17.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 69.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change17,506
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Copelyn John A +$25,383.7 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-13 Copelyn John A +$25,383.7 Transaction at $1.45, now +11.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Montauk Renewables Inc (MNTK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MNTK on Trend Edge →