MKL — Markel Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Markel Corporation

Markel Group Inc. engages in the insurance business in the United States, the United Kingdom, Bermuda, Germany, rest of the European Union, Canada, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through Markel Insurance, Industrial, Financial, and Consumer and Other segments. The company offers general and professional liability, specialty programs, workers' compensation, and marine and energy insurance; personal lines insurance, such as property coverage for… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1847.87
Market Cap$23.19B
Float12.2M
Shares Outstanding12.5M
P/E (Forward)12.29
P/E (TTM)13.40
Price/Sales (TTM)1.45
vs. Analyst Target+8.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)-9.68%
Revenue (TTM)$16.01B
Earnings Growth (YoY)95.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2005.40 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $9.64B $816M $3.38B $1.49B
2021 $12.92B $2.42B $5.89B $3.65B
2022 $11.81B -$216M $3.41B $354M
2023 $15.71B $2.00B $8.08B $3.16B
2024 $16.75B $2.75B $9.27B $4.18B
2025 $16.59B $2.11B $11.51B $2.94B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $4.41B $657M
Sep 2025 $4.39B $751M
Dec 2025 $4.22B $577M
Mar 2026 $3.55B -$212M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership81.5%
Short Float1.5%
% of All Funds Holding10.40%
Number of Funds Holding855

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1873.57Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1982.55Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1923.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1619.15Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1972.26Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1908.58Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1689.27Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1910.00 resistance 1.45x 0 months ago
$2060.00 resistance 1.22x 1 months ago
$1730.00 support 1.47x 15 months ago
$1540.00 support 1.11x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.02% -0.01% 45.45% 3.75% -7.17%
1 Day -0.08% 0.19% 53.72% 10.74% -12.82%
1 Week 0.55% 0.40% 54.55% 10.91% -15.01%
2 Weeks 0.38% 0.74% 58.68% 14.01% -13.37%
1 Month 0.78% 1.34% 60.00% 13.83% -28.84%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%62.5%40
Feb3.8%80.0%40
Mar1.9%62.5%40
Apr-0.5%45.0%40
May2.1%51.3%39
Jun-0.5%43.6%39
Jul3.1%69.2%39
Aug-0.9%43.6%39
Sep1.1%53.8%39
Oct-0.2%48.7%39
Nov0.6%56.4%39
Dec3.3%64.1%39

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 46.6% 1873
Tuesday 0.13% 48.0% 2040
Wednesday 0.08% 48.0% 2037
Thursday 0.07% 47.5% 1998
Friday 0.07% 48.6% 1988

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$512,202.48
Net Shares Change-751
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MARKEL STEVEN A -$3.2M 2 N/A
Wilson Simon EVP and CEO, Markel Insurance -$363,418.98 2 2 sell
Leopold Diane +$268,720.5 1 2 buy
Grandis Meade P. CAO and Controller -$148,783.5 1 1 sell
Harris Greta J -$140,395.651 1 1 sell
Puckett A. Lynne +$102,345.21 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-08 Leopold Diane +$268,720.5 Transaction at $1790.90, now +3.2%
2026-05-05 Puckett A. Lynne +$102,345.21 Transaction at $1795.53, now +2.9%
2026-05-27 Harris Greta J -$140,395.651 Transaction at $1847.31, now +0.0%
2026-02-26 Wilson Simon EVP and CEO, Markel Insurance -$207,948.48 Transaction at $2079.48, now -11.1%
2025-11-25 Wilson Simon CEO, Markel Insurance -$155,470.5 Transaction at $2072.94, now -10.9%
2025-08-27 Grandis Meade P. CAO and Controller -$148,783.5 Transaction at $1983.78, now -6.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Markel Corporation (MKL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MKL on Trend Edge →