MFC — Manulife Financial Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MFC Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 37, actionability 46. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction37
Actionability46 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Manulife Financial Corp

Manulife Financial Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial products and services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Wealth and Asset Management Businesses; Insurance and Annuity Products; and Corporate and Other segments. The Wealth and Asset Management Businesses segment offers investment advice and solutions to retirement, retail, and institutional clients through multiple distri… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$43.17
Market Cap$70.47B
Float1.66B
Shares Outstanding1.66B
P/E (Forward)13.37
P/E (TTM)16.33
Price/Sales (TTM)2.13
vs. Analyst Target-19.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)28.25%
Revenue (TTM)$33.11B
Earnings Growth (YoY)22.40%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$34.73 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $77.12B $5.33B $17.25B $8.61B
2021 $59.84B $6.66B $18.64B $9.66B
2022 $24.16B -$2.10B $1.64B -$3.56B
2023 -$7.04B $5.46B $10.68B $8.59B
2024 -$7.29B $5.63B $13.63B $7.26B
2025 $53.01B $5.78B $13.53B $9.50B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $17.31B $1.79B
Dec 2025 $8.60B $1.56B
Mar 2026 $12.31B $1.20B
Jun 2026 $19.71B $2.18B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership54.1%
Short Float0.8%
% of All Funds Holding9.13%
Number of Funds Holding803

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$42.87Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$38.43Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$34.76Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.63Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$38.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$34.85Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.32Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$32.40 support 1.08x 8 months ago
$28.40 support 1.11x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (108 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.18% 0.14% 51.85% 5.44% -5.84%
1 Day 0.39% 0.23% 55.56% 9.74% -10.47%
1 Week 0.48% 0.46% 53.70% 27.80% -32.55%
2 Weeks -0.35% 0.83% 55.56% 24.71% -39.84%
1 Month 0.73% 1.16% 55.14% 26.40% -49.88%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%51.9%27
Feb-0.1%59.3%27
Mar1.0%51.9%27
Apr3.6%66.7%27
May0.8%51.9%27
Jun-0.3%59.3%27
Jul2.8%51.9%27
Aug-2.2%42.3%26
Sep-0.3%50.0%26
Oct0.5%63.0%27
Nov4.5%74.1%27
Dec1.4%55.6%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 49.3% 1272
Tuesday 0.10% 51.0% 1389
Wednesday 0.09% 52.0% 1389
Thursday 0.04% 51.8% 1362
Friday 0.02% 50.7% 1356

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 54.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Manulife Financial Corp (MFC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MFC on Trend Edge →