GNW — Genworth Financial Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GNW Bullish with a Setup Score of 24, net conviction 25, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score24
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction25
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Genworth Financial Inc

Genworth Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mortgage and long-term care insurance products in the United States. It operates through two segments: Enact and Closed Block. The company offers primary mortgage, and mortgage insurance products, and contract underwriting services. It also provides long-term care insurance products that are intended to protect against the significant and escalating costs of long-term care service… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.40
Market Cap$3.68B
Float369.2M
Shares Outstanding377.9M
P/E (Forward)5.11
P/E (TTM)19.48
Price/Sales (TTM)0.50
vs. Analyst Target+22.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.25%
Revenue (TTM)$7.38B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.50 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.66B $761M $8.66B $448M
2021 $7.83B $904M $7.83B $1.58B
2022 $7.40B $916M $1.37B $1.47B
2023 $7.37B $76.0M $304M $461M
2024 $7.14B $299M $558M $840M
2025 $6.37B $223M $1.55B $631M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.87B $116M
Dec 2025 $1.49B $2.0M
Mar 2026 $1.72B $47.0M
Jun 2026 $1.90B $83.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership90.3%
Short Float2.6%
% of All Funds Holding4.17%
Number of Funds Holding367

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.15Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.49Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$9.90 resistance 1.42x 0 months ago
$7.10 support 1.56x 15 months ago
$6.70 support 1.05x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (89 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.30% 0.08% 51.69% 24.73% -26.79%
1 Day -1.46% -0.29% 49.44% 27.64% -43.19%
1 Week -1.29% 0.16% 51.69% 33.22% -68.72%
2 Weeks -1.73% -0.51% 46.07% 38.91% -80.85%
1 Month 0.81% 0.27% 55.68% 74.55% -45.11%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.9%36.4%22
Feb-1.0%50.0%22
Mar4.1%54.5%22
Apr3.5%54.5%22
May4.8%40.9%22
Jun0.2%52.2%23
Jul-1.1%47.8%23
Aug6.2%60.9%23
Sep-2.0%52.2%23
Oct-0.2%50.0%22
Nov-1.5%63.6%22
Dec4.9%59.1%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 48.8% 1053
Tuesday 0.13% 50.2% 1155
Wednesday 0.02% 50.0% 1156
Thursday -0.02% 49.6% 1134
Friday 0.14% 49.9% 1127

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$3.2M
Net Shares Change-395,708
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
McInerney Thomas J President and CEO; Director -$2.3M 3 3 sell
Karawan Gregory S. EVP and General Counsel -$736,876 2 2 sell
RESTREPO ROBERT P JR -$456,055 1 1 sell
Hagerman Melissa EVP and Chief HR Officer -$145,829.82 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-25 Hagerman Melissa EVP and Chief HR Officer -$145,829.82 Transaction at $9.91, now -5.2%
2026-08-24 Karawan Gregory S. EVP and General Counsel -$396,472 Transaction at $9.91, now -5.2%
2026-09-08 McInerney Thomas J President and CEO; Director -$1.1M Transaction at $10.53, now -10.7%
2026-05-26 RESTREPO ROBERT P JR -$456,055 Transaction at $9.12, now +3.1%
2026-05-27 McInerney Thomas J President and CEO; Director -$927,000 Transaction at $9.27, now +1.4%
2025-11-25 Karawan Gregory S. EVP and General Counsel -$340,404 Transaction at $8.51, now +10.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Genworth Financial Inc (GNW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GNW on Trend Edge →