MEOH — Methanex Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MEOH Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 31, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Methanex Corporation

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex Corporation was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$59.07
Market Cap$4.54B
Float64.3M
Shares Outstanding77.4M
P/E (Forward)6.19
P/E (TTM)63.82
Price/Sales (TTM)1.06
vs. Analyst Target+18.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)37.14%
Revenue (TTM)$4.27B
Earnings Growth (YoY)164.70%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$70.00 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.65B -$157M $616M $335M
2021 $4.41B $482M $1.08B $1.17B
2022 $4.31B $354M $865M $1.09B
2023 $3.72B $174M $655M $795M
2024 $3.72B $164M $710M $798M
2025 $3.59B $79.9M $909M $869M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $927M -$7.1M
Dec 2025 $969M -$88.8M
Mar 2026 $974M -$13.6M
Jun 2026 $1.40B $198M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.1%
Institutional Ownership85.0%
Short Float2.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.41%
Number of Funds Holding212

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$53.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$52.23Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$43.83Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$44.41Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$51.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$44.75Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$44.93Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$46.00 support 1.28x 0 months ago
$60.00 resistance 1.02x 1 months ago
$41.00 support 1.03x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.04% 50.40% 10.70% -7.05%
1 Day 0.23% 0.13% 52.80% 16.06% -12.16%
1 Week 0.40% 0.51% 51.20% 30.60% -21.52%
2 Weeks 1.76% 2.25% 64.80% 30.43% -22.33%
1 Month 3.67% 4.03% 61.29% 67.70% -30.10%

Next earnings: October 28, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.3%55.9%34
Feb2.2%61.8%34
Mar-1.5%50.0%34
Apr3.8%55.9%34
May1.4%52.9%34
Jun-2.4%42.9%35
Jul0.3%45.7%35
Aug3.0%55.9%34
Sep0.1%47.1%34
Oct1.3%55.9%34
Nov3.4%58.8%34
Dec1.4%55.9%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 45.6% 1622
Tuesday 0.11% 49.5% 1771
Wednesday 0.11% 47.2% 1770
Thursday -0.03% 46.1% 1736
Friday 0.10% 48.5% 1725

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 85.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.1%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Methanex Corporation (MEOH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MEOH on Trend Edge →