MCY — Mercury General Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MCY Bullish with a Setup Score of 19, net conviction 52, actionability 7. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score19
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability7 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Mercury General Corporation

Mercury General Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in writing personal automobile insurance in the United States. It also writes homeowners, commercial automobile, commercial property, mechanical protection, and umbrella insurance products. The company's automobile insurance products include collision, property damage, bodily injury, comprehensive, personal injury protection, underinsured and uninsured motorist, and other hazard… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$109.26
Market Cap$6.08B
Float26.5M
Shares Outstanding55.4M
P/E (Forward)19.76
P/E (TTM)7.24
Price/Sales (TTM)0.99
vs. Analyst Target+9.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.69%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.75%
Revenue (TTM)$6.14B
Earnings Growth (YoY)100.90%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$120.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.78B $375M $761M $544M
2021 $3.99B $248M $600M $395M
2022 $3.64B -$513M -$374M -$571M
2023 $4.63B $96.3M $403M $196M
2024 $5.48B $468M $933M $679M
2025 $5.99B $541M $2.03B $767M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.48B $166M
Sep 2025 $1.58B $280M
Dec 2025 $1.54B $203M
Mar 2026 $1.54B $190M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership52.0%
Institutional Ownership47.9%
Short Float5.1%
% of All Funds Holding3.44%
Number of Funds Holding283

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$102.91Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$92.65Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$77.75Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$57.02Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$94.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$79.34Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$62.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$49.00 support 2.03x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.27% 0.00% 46.34% 19.72% -8.43%
1 Day 0.57% 0.33% 52.85% 21.60% -11.91%
1 Week 0.95% 0.63% 56.10% 23.78% -18.81%
2 Weeks 1.17% 0.56% 54.47% 25.27% -18.61%
1 Month 1.55% 1.32% 55.74% 29.11% -26.73%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (22 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.7%43.9%41
Feb1.2%43.9%41
Mar0.9%43.9%41
Apr2.0%61.0%41
May2.3%53.7%41
Jun-0.7%39.0%41
Jul1.6%60.0%40
Aug0.1%50.0%40
Sep-0.8%47.5%40
Oct1.3%52.5%40
Nov4.6%65.0%40
Dec0.0%51.2%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 45.7% 1931
Tuesday 0.05% 47.4% 2100
Wednesday 0.09% 47.8% 2096
Thursday 0.05% 47.9% 2058
Friday 0.09% 48.3% 2046

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 47.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 52.0%

Founder-led management: George Joseph (Executive Chairman of the Board), George Joseph (President, COO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$1.3M
Net Shares Change552
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
TIRADOR GABRIEL President & CEO -$375,896.442 1 1 sell
STALICK THEODORE R SVP & CFO -$123,301.474 1 1 sell
Joseph Victor George President & COO -$113,984.97 1 1 sell
Pang Wei VP/Chief Technology Officer -$98,214.857 1 1 sell
Zhang Ximeng Simon VP and Chief Data & Analytics Officer -$70,152.975 1 1 sell
Schroeder Jeffrey Michael VP/Chief Product Officer -$70,152.975 1 1 sell
Ribisi Mark Allan President and Chief Executive Officer of AIS Management LLC -$70,152.975 1 1 sell
Petro Randall R VP/Chief Claims Officer -$59,630.634 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-24 – 2026-02-24 13 13 -$1.3M 13 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-24 Zhang Ximeng Simon VP and Chief Data & Analytics Officer -$70,152.975 Transaction at $86.44, now +26.4%
2026-02-24 Thompson Erik Dahl VP/Chief Marketing Officer -$46,300.722 Transaction at $86.44, now +26.4%
2026-02-24 TIRADOR GABRIEL President & CEO -$375,896.442 Transaction at $86.44, now +26.4%
2026-02-24 Schroeder Jeffrey Michael VP/Chief Product Officer -$70,152.975 Transaction at $86.44, now +26.4%
2026-02-24 STALICK THEODORE R SVP & CFO -$123,301.474 Transaction at $86.44, now +26.4%
2026-02-24 Ribisi Mark Allan President and Chief Executive Officer of AIS Management LLC -$70,152.975 Transaction at $86.44, now +26.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Mercury General Corporation (MCY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MCY on Trend Edge →