MCHX — Marchex Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MCHX Bearish with a Setup Score of 48, net conviction 37, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score48
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Marchex Inc

Marchex, Inc., a conversation intelligence company, provides conversational analytics and related solutions in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Its products include Marketing Edge that identifies which campaigns and channels are driving inbound conversations, evaluates what happens during those conversations, and closes the sales loop by connecting converted sales to marketing driven leads; Sonar Business Text Messaging, an artific… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.70
Market Cap$76.0M
Float17.6M
Shares Outstanding39.6M
P/E (Forward)333.33
Price/Sales (TTM)1.70
vs. Analyst Target+135.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-11.15%
Operating Margin (TTM)-12.72%
Revenue (TTM)$44.6M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $51.2M -$38.4M $30.3M -$36.7M
2021 $53.5M -$4.4M $31.8M $1.8M
2022 $52.2M -$8.2M $31.7M -$4.0M
2023 $49.9M -$9.9M $29.3M -$5.8M
2024 $48.1M -$4.9M $30.9M -$1.8M
2025 $45.4M -$5.2M $28.7M -$2.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $11.7M $85,000
Sep 2025 $11.5M -$1.0M
Dec 2025 $10.8M -$2.3M
Mar 2026 $10.6M -$1.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.7%
Institutional Ownership63.4%
Short Float0.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.30%
Number of Funds Holding25

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.62Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.62Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.74Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.64Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.69Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (89 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.05% 0.00% 47.19% 15.07% -24.07%
1 Day 0.08% 0.00% 47.19% 24.19% -21.47%
1 Week -0.02% -2.74% 43.82% 33.12% -32.90%
2 Weeks -0.53% 0.99% 52.81% 45.01% -40.23%
1 Month -0.16% 2.39% 54.55% 46.13% -55.58%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (28 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%40.9%22
Feb-0.3%50.0%22
Mar-3.2%40.9%22
Apr0.5%52.2%23
May0.9%52.2%23
Jun3.7%73.9%23
Jul-0.4%27.3%22
Aug-1.3%40.9%22
Sep-0.3%45.5%22
Oct0.4%50.0%22
Nov3.8%63.6%22
Dec0.6%31.8%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 41.9% 1049
Tuesday 0.03% 44.3% 1151
Wednesday 0.09% 47.1% 1151
Thursday 0.11% 46.3% 1130
Friday 0.05% 45.9% 1122

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 63.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.7%

Founder-led management: Russell Horowitz (Executive Chairman)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Marchex Inc (MCHX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MCHX on Trend Edge →