LYB — LyondellBasell Industries NV

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About LyondellBasell Industries NV

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, Italy, Japan, France, Poland, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Olefins and Polyolefins"Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins"Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; and Technology. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$68.35
Market Cap$22.62B
Float257.4M
Shares Outstanding322.8M
P/E (Forward)8.80
Price/Sales (TTM)0.76
vs. Analyst Target+17.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.69%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.47%
Revenue (TTM)$29.67B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-29.50%
Dividend Rate4.8%
Analyst Target Price$79.94 (22 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $27.75B $1.42B $3.39B $3.30B
2021 $46.17B $5.61B $8.78B $8.70B
2022 $50.45B $3.88B $6.60B $6.33B
2023 $41.11B $2.11B $5.26B $4.64B
2024 $40.30B $1.36B $4.56B $3.61B
2025 $30.15B -$743M $2.71B $1.19B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $7.66B $114M
Sep 2025 $7.73B -$892M
Dec 2025 $7.09B -$140M
Mar 2026 $7.20B $125M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.2%
Institutional Ownership78.0%
Short Float4.4%
% of All Funds Holding10.71%
Number of Funds Holding880

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$72.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$56.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$61.70Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$80.25Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$57.41Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$63.60Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$79.81Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$79.00 resistance 1.20x 0 months ago
$58.00 support 1.88x 1 months ago
$49.00 support 1.21x 2 months ago
$44.00 support 1.25x 3 months ago
$81.00 resistance 1.56x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (63 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.11% 53.97% 3.80% -3.74%
1 Day -0.11% 0.18% 52.38% 7.06% -6.17%
1 Week 0.27% 0.18% 50.79% 15.98% -27.85%
2 Weeks 1.62% 2.09% 63.49% 16.39% -14.62%
1 Month 2.03% 1.02% 58.06% 34.45% -12.56%

Next earnings: July 20, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.3%62.5%16
Feb2.8%62.5%16
Mar1.6%62.5%16
Apr0.9%50.0%16
May-1.0%37.5%16
Jun-2.0%43.8%16
Jul2.4%75.0%16
Aug0.4%56.3%16
Sep-1.3%43.8%16
Oct1.0%50.0%16
Nov3.3%68.8%16
Dec0.5%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 50.7% 756
Tuesday 0.18% 52.3% 832
Wednesday 0.07% 49.9% 828
Thursday -0.01% 49.0% 814
Friday 0.09% 53.8% 813

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$1.6M
Net Shares Change-874,339
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS LLC -$26.3M 1 2 sell
Vanacker Peter Z. E. Chief Executive Officer -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Kaplan Jeffrey A EVP, Chief PC, Leg and Corp Ofc -$741,573 1 1 sell
Foley Kimberly A EVP, Global OandP and Refining +$246,620.899 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-11 AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS LLC -$26.3M Transaction at $68.13, now +0.3%
2026-05-15 Kaplan Jeffrey A EVP, Chief PC, Leg and Corp Ofc -$741,573 Transaction at $74.16, now -7.8%
2025-11-12 Foley Kimberly A EVP, Global OandP and Refining +$246,620.899 Transaction at $43.56, now +56.9%
2025-08-15 Vanacker Peter Z. E. Chief Executive Officer -$1.1M Transaction at $53.57, now +27.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LYB on Trend Edge →