LYB — LyondellBasell Industries NV

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LYB Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 24, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About LyondellBasell Industries NV

LyondellBasell Industries N.V. operates as a chemical company in the United States, Germany, China, Mexico, Italy, Japan, France, Poland, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Olefins and Polyolefins"Americas; Olefins and Polyolefins"Europe, Asia, International; Intermediates and Derivatives; Advanced Polymer Solutions; and Technology. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$63.67
Market Cap$20.37B
Float257.6M
Shares Outstanding323.0M
P/E (Forward)8.26
Price/Sales (TTM)0.65
vs. Analyst Target+9.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.13%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.92%
Revenue (TTM)$31.19B
Earnings Growth (YoY)396.00%
Dividend Rate2.8%
Analyst Target Price$69.53 (22 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $27.75B $1.42B $3.39B $3.30B
2021 $46.17B $5.61B $8.78B $8.70B
2022 $50.45B $3.88B $6.60B $6.33B
2023 $41.11B $2.11B $5.26B $4.64B
2024 $40.30B $1.36B $4.56B $3.61B
2025 $30.15B -$743M $2.71B $1.19B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $7.73B -$892M
Dec 2025 $7.09B -$140M
Mar 2026 $7.20B $125M
Jun 2026 $9.18B $559M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.1%
Institutional Ownership76.1%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding9.89%
Number of Funds Holding870

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$60.16Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$60.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$59.11Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$78.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$59.90Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$60.21Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$77.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$80.00 resistance 1.10x 3 months ago
$44.00 support 1.25x 6 months ago
$49.00 support 1.21x 6 months ago
$81.00 resistance 1.56x 19 months ago
$95.00 resistance 1.11x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (64 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.10% 54.69% 3.80% -3.74%
1 Day -0.14% 0.17% 51.56% 7.06% -6.17%
1 Week 0.28% 0.19% 51.56% 15.98% -27.85%
2 Weeks 1.66% 2.19% 64.06% 16.39% -14.62%
1 Month 1.81% 0.81% 57.14% 34.45% -12.56%

Next earnings: October 19, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.3%62.5%16
Feb2.8%62.5%16
Mar1.6%62.5%16
Apr0.9%50.0%16
May-1.5%35.3%17
Jun-3.1%41.2%17
Jul3.3%76.5%17
Aug0.4%56.3%16
Sep-1.3%43.8%16
Oct1.0%50.0%16
Nov3.3%68.8%16
Dec0.5%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 50.5% 769
Tuesday 0.18% 52.4% 844
Wednesday 0.07% 49.7% 841
Thursday -0.01% 48.7% 827
Friday 0.09% 53.6% 824

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 76.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$494,952.101
Net Shares Change-854,339
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS LLC -$26.3M 1 2 sell
Kaplan Jeffrey A EVP, Chief PC, Leg & Corp Ofc -$741,573 1 1 sell
Foley Kimberly A EVP, Global O&P and Refining +$246,620.899 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-11 AI INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS LLC -$26.3M Transaction at $68.13, now -6.5%
2025-11-12 Foley Kimberly A EVP, Global O&P and Refining +$246,620.899 Transaction at $43.56, now +46.1%
2026-05-15 Kaplan Jeffrey A EVP, Chief PC, Leg & Corp Ofc -$741,573 Transaction at $74.16, now -14.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LYB on Trend Edge →