LPX — Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

Louisiana-Pacific Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides building solutions for applications in new home construction, repair and remodeling, and outdoor structure markets in the United States, Canada, and South America. It operates through Siding and Oriented Strand Board (OSB) segments. The Siding segment consists of a portfolio of engineered wood siding, trim, soffit, and fascia products; and primed products, including LP SmartS… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$73.50
Market Cap$4.90B
Float63.3M
Shares Outstanding69.9M
P/E (Forward)41.32
P/E (TTM)59.95
Price/Sales (TTM)1.92
vs. Analyst Target+24.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.21%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.62%
Revenue (TTM)$2.56B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-70.30%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$91.50 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.40B $499M $833M $753M
2021 $3.92B $1.38B $1.96B $1.86B
2022 $3.85B $1.09B $1.50B $1.36B
2023 $2.58B $178M $593M $380M
2024 $2.94B $420M $831M $659M
2025 $2.71B $146M $589M $354M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $755M $54.0M
Sep 2025 $663M $9.0M
Dec 2025 $567M -$8.0M
Mar 2026 $574M $27.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.5%
Institutional Ownership94.1%
Short Float8.8%
% of All Funds Holding4.72%
Number of Funds Holding388

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$72.95Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$82.80Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$90.46Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$78.72Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$82.08Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$90.14Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$81.50Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.17% 0.00% 49.59% 4.94% -6.15%
1 Day 0.15% -0.19% 43.80% 15.43% -10.36%
1 Week 0.41% 0.00% 49.59% 28.09% -54.66%
2 Weeks 0.50% 0.44% 52.07% 30.29% -52.59%
1 Month 1.22% 0.94% 53.33% 37.83% -55.96%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.0%71.7%46
Feb0.6%56.5%46
Mar0.9%52.2%46
Apr3.9%51.1%47
May-0.6%45.7%46
Jun-1.6%41.3%46
Jul0.5%45.7%46
Aug3.1%50.0%46
Sep-3.9%32.6%46
Oct-0.4%41.3%46
Nov4.7%67.4%46
Dec2.4%56.5%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 45.5% 2200
Tuesday 0.04% 46.4% 2388
Wednesday 0.08% 47.4% 2386
Thursday 0.14% 46.9% 2340
Friday 0.11% 46.6% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LPX on Trend Edge →