LII — Lennox International Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LII Bearish with a Setup Score of 27, net conviction 36, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score27
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction36
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lennox International Inc

Lennox International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets products for the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration markets in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The Home Comfort Solutions segment provides furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, packaged heating and cooling systems, indoor air quality equipment, comfort control products, and replacement parts and supplies; resident… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$552.03
Market Cap$18.70B
Float29.6M
Shares Outstanding34.8M
P/E (Forward)22.27
P/E (TTM)23.87
Price/Sales (TTM)3.56
vs. Analyst Target+3.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin15.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.32%
Revenue (TTM)$5.26B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-7.70%
Dividend Rate5.4%
Analyst Target Price$571.00 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.63B $356M $1.04B $548M
2021 $4.19B $464M $1.19B $659M
2022 $4.72B $497M $1.28B $734M
2023 $4.98B $590M $1.55B $790M
2024 $5.34B $807M $1.77B $1.13B
2025 $5.20B $786M $1.72B $1.12B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.50B $278M
Sep 2025 $1.43B $246M
Dec 2025 $1.20B $143M
Mar 2026 $1.14B $117M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.6%
Institutional Ownership79.2%
Short Float8.4%
% of All Funds Holding7.12%
Number of Funds Holding585

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$524.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$509.80Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$545.49Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$462.11Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$518.06Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$546.24Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$502.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$457.00 support 1.10x 2 months ago
$670.00 resistance 2.04x 18 months ago
$464.00 support 1.04x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (107 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.20% 0.07% 55.14% 7.49% -3.91%
1 Day 0.53% 0.37% 57.94% 17.88% -9.71%
1 Week 1.81% 1.30% 68.22% 18.64% -9.71%
2 Weeks 2.61% 2.36% 67.29% 25.86% -20.54%
1 Month 3.36% 4.64% 68.87% 36.30% -24.20%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (11 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%59.3%27
Feb4.5%74.1%27
Mar0.3%55.6%27
Apr0.3%44.4%27
May2.2%51.9%27
Jun3.0%63.0%27
Jul3.9%57.7%26
Aug-0.5%51.9%27
Sep-5.2%22.2%27
Oct0.9%48.1%27
Nov5.3%85.2%27
Dec1.2%51.9%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 50.9% 1272
Tuesday 0.13% 52.7% 1390
Wednesday -0.01% 50.1% 1390
Thursday 0.13% 51.7% 1363
Friday 0.09% 51.5% 1358

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 79.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$2.8M
Net Shares Change-32,688
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Sessa Daniel M EVP, Chief HR Officer -$1.9M 1 N/A
Quintos Karen H -$880,059.323 1 1 sell
Kosel Chris VP-Corp Controller and CAO -$842,829.83 3 3 sell
TESKE TODD J -$668,525 2 2 sell
Wall Shane D -$54,001 1 1 sell
Brown Monica M. EVP, Chief Legal Officer -$52,487.24 1 1 sell
Somasundaram Sivasankaran +N/A 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-07 Kosel Chris VP-Corp Controller and CAO -$529,000.8 Transaction at $544.80, now +1.3%
2026-05-28 Somasundaram Sivasankaran +N/A N/A
2026-02-05 Kosel Chris VP-Corp Controller and CAO -$136,271 Transaction at $536.50, now +2.9%
2026-02-27 Wall Shane D -$54,001 Transaction at $540.01, now +2.2%
2026-02-05 TESKE TODD J -$373,415 Transaction at $533.45, now +3.5%
2025-08-20 Quintos Karen H -$880,059.323 Transaction at $608.20, now -9.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lennox International Inc (LII) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LII on Trend Edge →