KRP — Kimbell Royalty Partners LP

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KRP Bearish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 19, actionability 100. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction19
Actionability100 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Kimbell Royalty Partners LP

Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, owns and acquires mineral and royalty interests in oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Fort Worth, Texas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.23
Market Cap$1.95B
Float95.3M
Shares Outstanding100.9M
P/E (Forward)15.67
P/E (TTM)17.64
Price/Sales (TTM)5.65
vs. Analyst Target+26.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin25.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)56.11%
Revenue (TTM)$345M
Earnings Growth (YoY)1889.40%
Dividend Rate1.6%
Analyst Target Price$19.20 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $92.9M -$160M $38.6M -$202M
2021 $178M $33.9M $131M $88.8M
2022 $285M $112M $219M $198M
2023 $273M $66.5M $156M $210M
2024 $311M $12.3M $155M $172M
2025 $334M $90.9M $313M $133M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $80.6M $19.7M
Dec 2025 $76.4M $21.8M
Mar 2026 $84.2M $6.6M
Jun 2026 $127M $41.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.3%
Institutional Ownership31.9%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.38%
Number of Funds Holding209

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.91Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.05Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.05Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.91Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.80 support 1.13x 6 months ago
$16.30 resistance 2.20x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (39 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.47% 0.00% 46.15% 2.93% -8.39%
1 Day 0.35% 0.18% 58.97% 6.52% -8.00%
1 Week 1.04% 0.34% 51.28% 13.93% -10.34%
2 Weeks -0.50% 0.07% 53.85% 25.00% -31.30%
1 Month 0.20% 0.09% 50.00% 51.17% -47.71%

Next earnings: October 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.1%55.6%9
Feb2.3%55.6%9
Mar-5.3%40.0%10
Apr3.3%60.0%10
May4.6%60.0%10
Jun-1.0%40.0%10
Jul2.0%70.0%10
Aug-3.1%11.1%9
Sep-2.2%44.4%9
Oct2.1%55.6%9
Nov-1.3%33.3%9
Dec-1.6%33.3%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 51.7% 451
Tuesday 0.11% 46.8% 494
Wednesday -0.08% 49.1% 491
Thursday -0.05% 45.5% 483
Friday 0.11% 52.4% 481

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 31.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.3%

Founder-led management: Robert Ravnaas (Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder), R. Davis Ravnaas (President, Chief Financial Officer and Co-Founder), Brett G. Taylor (Executive Vice Chairman and Co-Founder)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$213,384.24
Net Shares Change-49,733
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wynne Mitch S. -$506,800 1 1 sell
Rhynsburger Blayne Controller -$213,384.24 3 3 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-27 Rhynsburger Blayne Controller -$68,221.92 Transaction at $15.08, now +1.0%
2026-03-24 Rhynsburger Blayne Controller -$95,698.32 Transaction at $14.48, now +5.2%
2026-03-03 Wynne Mitch S. -$506,800 Transaction at $14.48, now +5.2%
2025-09-05 Rhynsburger Blayne Controller -$49,464 Transaction at $13.74, now +10.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kimbell Royalty Partners LP (KRP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KRP on Trend Edge →