KOS — Kosmos Energy Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Kosmos Energy Ltd

Kosmos Energy Ltd., a deepwater exploration and production company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties. It has oil and gas production projects in offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, Senegal, and the Gulf of America. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.67
Market Cap$1.85B
Float571.8M
Shares Outstanding593.2M
P/E (Forward)6.21
Price/Sales (TTM)1.35
vs. Analyst Target+12.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-59.48%
Operating Margin (TTM)-49.15%
Revenue (TTM)$1.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-50.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3.00 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $804M -$412M -$20.3M $181M
2021 $1.33B -$77.8M $519M $546M
2022 $2.25B $227M $1.34B $969M
2023 $1.70B $214M $867M $931M
2024 $1.68B $190M $688M $894M
2025 $1.30B -$700M -$191M $323M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $393M -$87.7M
Sep 2025 $311M -$124M
Dec 2025 $297M -$377M
Mar 2026 $422M -$226M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership81.3%
Short Float5.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.97%
Number of Funds Holding244

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.86Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.61Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.30Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.32Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.50 support 1.40x 2 months ago
$1.00 support 1.63x 3 months ago
$3.90 resistance 1.65x 16 months ago
$4.80 resistance 1.15x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (61 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.54% 0.08% 52.46% 3.25% -17.20%
1 Day -0.41% -0.68% 39.34% 10.45% -9.43%
1 Week 0.90% 0.28% 52.46% 29.22% -34.41%
2 Weeks 0.33% -0.85% 45.90% 55.12% -70.54%
1 Month 0.81% -1.49% 47.46% 85.04% -75.00%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.6%53.3%15
Feb3.9%60.0%15
Mar-0.2%46.7%15
Apr4.2%40.0%15
May0.1%42.9%14
Jun-1.3%53.3%15
Jul-3.2%40.0%15
Aug0.8%60.0%15
Sep-3.1%46.7%15
Oct1.5%40.0%15
Nov0.9%46.7%15
Dec-2.6%33.3%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.15% 45.0% 707
Tuesday 0.09% 47.3% 778
Wednesday -0.00% 48.1% 774
Thursday 0.09% 49.7% 761
Friday 0.18% 48.4% 761

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value+$522,401.304
Net Shares Change3,679,258
% of Float0.6%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ogunlesi Adebayo O. +$6.0M 1 1 buy
INGLIS ANDREW G Chairman and CEO +$394,754.112 2 1 buy
Shah Nealesh D. SVP and CFO +$190,364.386 2 1 buy
STICE J MICHAEL +$99,998.9 1 1 buy
Grant John Douglas Kelso -$51,038.38 1 N/A
Marion Josh R. SVP and General Counsel -$31,592.968 1 N/A
Glass Ronald W. VP and Chief Accounting Officer -$31,124.225 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-05 – 2026-02-05 4 4 -$377,598.296 4 C-suite
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-12 4 4 +$7.0M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-12 Shah Nealesh D. SVP and CFO +$299,998.6 Transaction at $1.90, now +40.5%
2026-03-12 INGLIS ANDREW G Chairman and CEO +$600,001 Transaction at $1.90, now +40.5%
2026-03-12 Ogunlesi Adebayo O. +$6.0M Transaction at $1.90, now +40.5%
2026-03-12 STICE J MICHAEL +$99,998.9 Transaction at $1.90, now +40.5%
2026-02-05 Marion Josh R. SVP and General Counsel -$31,592.968 Transaction at $1.38, now +93.9%
2025-06-06 Grant John Douglas Kelso -$51,038.38 Transaction at $1.81, now +47.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kosmos Energy Ltd (KOS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KOS on Trend Edge →