KOS — Kosmos Energy Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KOS Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 27, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction27
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Kosmos Energy Ltd

Kosmos Energy Ltd., a deepwater exploration and production company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties. It has oil and gas production projects in offshore Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, Senegal, and the Gulf of America. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.73
Market Cap$1.80B
Float574.2M
Shares Outstanding595.5M
P/E (Forward)3.26
Price/Sales (TTM)1.13
vs. Analyst Target+7.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-34.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)53.78%
Revenue (TTM)$1.58B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-50.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2.92 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $804M -$412M -$20.3M $181M
2021 $1.33B -$77.8M $519M $546M
2022 $2.25B $227M $1.34B $969M
2023 $1.70B $214M $867M $931M
2024 $1.68B $190M $688M $894M
2025 $1.30B -$700M -$191M $19.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $311M -$124M
Dec 2025 $297M -$377M
Mar 2026 $422M -$226M
Jun 2026 $607M $185M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.3%
Institutional Ownership80.5%
Short Float4.7%
% of All Funds Holding3.02%
Number of Funds Holding266

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.46Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.20Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.03Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.37Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.21Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.50 support 1.40x 5 months ago
$1.00 support 1.63x 6 months ago
$4.80 resistance 1.15x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (62 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.58% 0.08% 51.61% 3.25% -17.20%
1 Day -0.42% -0.69% 38.71% 10.45% -9.43%
1 Week 0.99% 0.52% 54.84% 29.22% -34.41%
2 Weeks 0.65% -0.44% 48.39% 55.12% -70.54%
1 Month 0.68% -1.81% 46.67% 85.04% -75.00%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.6%53.3%15
Feb3.9%60.0%15
Mar-0.2%46.7%15
Apr4.2%40.0%15
May-0.5%40.0%15
Jun-2.8%50.0%16
Jul-1.2%43.8%16
Aug0.8%60.0%15
Sep-3.1%46.7%15
Oct1.5%40.0%15
Nov0.9%46.7%15
Dec-2.6%33.3%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.15% 45.3% 720
Tuesday 0.09% 47.5% 790
Wednesday -0.00% 48.2% 787
Thursday 0.11% 50.0% 774
Friday 0.17% 48.3% 772

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value+$175,926.704
Net Shares Change3,935,650
% of Float0.7%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ogunlesi Adebayo O. +$6.0M 1 1 buy
INGLIS ANDREW G Chairman and CEO +$600,001 1 1 buy
Shah Nealesh D. SVP and CFO +$205,739.6 2 1 buy
Franklin Roy A. -$121,443.78 1 1 sell
Grant John Douglas Kelso -$120,756.93 1 1 sell
Sterin Steven -$105,476.28 1 1 sell
STICE J MICHAEL +$99,998.9 1 1 buy
Marion Josh R. SVP and General Counsel -$51,186.45 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-05 – 2026-02-05 4 4 -$377,598.296 4 C-suite
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-12 4 4 +$7.0M 2 C-suite
2026-05-29 – 2026-05-29 3 3 -$347,676.99
2026-07-06 – 2026-07-06 4 4 -$346,474.6 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-12 Shah Nealesh D. SVP and CFO +$299,998.6 Transaction at $1.90, now +43.7%
2026-03-12 INGLIS ANDREW G Chairman and CEO +$600,001 Transaction at $1.90, now +43.7%
2026-05-29 Grant John Douglas Kelso -$120,756.93 Transaction at $2.79, now -2.2%
2026-03-12 Ogunlesi Adebayo O. +$6.0M Transaction at $1.90, now +43.7%
2026-05-29 Sterin Steven -$105,476.28 Transaction at $2.73, now +0.0%
2026-05-29 Franklin Roy A. -$121,443.78 Transaction at $2.79, now -2.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kosmos Energy Ltd (KOS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KOS on Trend Edge →