Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Kinsale Capital Group Inc
Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. engages in the provision of property and casualty insurance products in the United States. The company's commercial lines offerings include commercial property, excess casualty, general casualty, small business casualty, construction, allied health, small business property, products liability, entertainment, commercial auto, energy, excess professional, life sciences, inland marine, professional liability, environmenta… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Insurance-Property & Casualty
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: July 28, 2016
Headquarters: 2025 Staples Mill Roadt, Richmond, VA, United States, 23230
Founder-Led: Yes — Michael Kehoe (Chairman of the Board & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$306.07
Market Cap
$7.16B
Float
21.8M
Shares Outstanding
23.1M
P/E (Forward)
15.11
P/E (TTM)
13.69
Price/Sales (TTM)
3.73
vs. Analyst Target
+16.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
27.48%
Operating Margin (TTM)
30.60%
Revenue (TTM)
$1.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.40%
Dividend Rate
1.0%
Analyst Target Price
$356.89 (11 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$460M
$88.4M
$142M
$102M
2021
$653M
$153M
$256M
$192M
2022
$839M
$159M
$287M
$203M
2023
$1.22B
$308M
$511M
$398M
2024
$1.59B
$415M
$680M
$531M
2025
$1.87B
$504M
$983M
$651M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$470M
$134M
Sep 2025
$498M
$142M
Dec 2025
$483M
$139M
Mar 2026
$467M
$113M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
5.5%
Institutional Ownership
95.5%
Short Float
2.6%
% of All Funds Holding
6.50%
Number of Funds Holding
534
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$327.05
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$384.25
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$423.71
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$390.41
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$381.51
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$420.46
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$405.51
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$384.00
resistance
1.04x
1 months ago
$482.00
resistance
1.32x
9 months ago
$487.00
resistance
1.37x
12 months ago
$524.00
resistance
1.57x
24 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (40 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.40%
0.26%
55.00%
8.69%
-13.48%
1 Day
0.96%
0.44%
55.00%
17.51%
-19.56%
1 Week
1.26%
0.77%
52.50%
24.88%
-20.34%
2 Weeks
1.90%
0.80%
52.50%
23.70%
-16.15%
1 Month
3.52%
2.19%
56.41%
43.46%
-24.15%
Next earnings: July 12, 2026 (45 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
0.8%
60.0%
10
Feb
6.3%
60.0%
10
Mar
0.1%
60.0%
10
Apr
-1.2%
60.0%
10
May
6.4%
66.7%
9
Jun
5.5%
88.9%
9
Jul
6.6%
66.7%
9
Aug
5.4%
90.0%
10
Sep
0.3%
60.0%
10
Oct
1.0%
50.0%
10
Nov
7.8%
70.0%
10
Dec
-1.9%
50.0%
10
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.12%
54.4%
461
Tuesday
0.18%
56.0%
509
Wednesday
0.07%
53.5%
505
Thursday
0.11%
55.2%
496
Friday
0.23%
55.2%
498
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 95.5%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 5.5%
Founder-led management: Michael Kehoe (Chairman of the Board & CEO)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kinsale Capital Group Inc
(KNSL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.