KGEI — Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KGEI Bullish with a Setup Score of 24, net conviction 24, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score24
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock

Kolibri Global Energy Inc., an energy company, engages in finding and exploiting energy projects in oil and gas in the United States. It develops its Caney Shale oil acreage in the Tishomingo field in the Ardmore Basin, Oklahoma, which produces oil, gas, and natural gas liquids. The company was formerly known as BNK Petroleum Inc. and changed its name to Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.88
Market Cap$183M
Float18.4M
Shares Outstanding35.6M
P/E (Forward)7.97
P/E (TTM)13.55
Price/Sales (TTM)3.03
vs. Analyst Target+63.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin22.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)33.24%
Revenue (TTM)$60.6M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-31.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $9.6M -$70.4M $6.8M $7.4M
2021 $19.1M $71.0M $8.4M $75.5M
2022 $48.4M $16.6M $25.1M $25.3M
2023 $64.4M $19.3M $29.7M $40.0M
2024 $74.6M $18.1M $34.4M $43.3M
2025 $57.9M $15.7M $31.0M $41.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $13.8M $2.9M
Sep 2025 $15.2M $3.6M
Dec 2025 $15.0M $3.3M
Mar 2026 $19.6M $4.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.5%
Institutional Ownership67.6%
Short Float3.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.69%
Number of Funds Holding57

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.19Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.61Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.64Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.43Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.64Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.68Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.68Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.70 resistance 1.60x 1 months ago
$4.20 support 1.68x 3 months ago
$6.80 resistance 2.01x 11 months ago
$8.40 resistance 1.52x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (66 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.23% 0.00% 28.79% 15.79% -17.02%
1 Day 0.44% 0.00% 36.36% 15.79% -17.02%
1 Week 0.59% -0.16% 37.88% 66.67% -36.36%
2 Weeks 1.35% 0.00% 46.97% 40.00% -35.68%
1 Month 4.54% -0.86% 46.15% 150.00% -36.56%

Next earnings: August 10, 2026 (28 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan8.6%43.8%16
Feb7.0%52.9%17
Mar21.0%58.8%17
Apr2.7%47.1%17
May-2.2%47.1%17
Jun-6.0%23.5%17
Jul-1.9%31.3%16
Aug-0.8%31.3%16
Sep-6.7%18.8%16
Oct-1.0%43.8%16
Nov1.6%50.0%16
Dec3.3%43.8%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.27% 32.1% 776
Tuesday -0.04% 32.0% 853
Wednesday 0.25% 32.7% 851
Thursday 0.03% 29.1% 836
Friday 1.24% 33.4% 832

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 67.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kolibri Global Energy Inc. Common stock (KGEI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KGEI on Trend Edge →