KALU — Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Kaiser Aluminum Corporation

Kaiser Aluminum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum mill products. It offers flat-rolled plate, sheet, and coil; extruded rod, bar, hollows, and shapes; drawn rod, bar, pipe, tube, and wire; and cast aluminum products. The company also offers aero/HS products, such as heat-treated plates and sheets, hard alloy extruded shapes, cold finish rods and bars, and seamless drawn tubes an… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$183.96
Market Cap$2.77B
Float16.0M
Shares Outstanding16.3M
P/E (Forward)27.70
P/E (TTM)18.47
Price/Sales (TTM)0.75
vs. Analyst Target-10.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.75%
Revenue (TTM)$3.70B
Earnings Growth (YoY)183.20%
Dividend Rate3.1%
Analyst Target Price$165.25 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.17B $28.8M $231M $137M
2021 $2.62B -$18.5M $274M $117M
2022 $3.43B -$29.6M $248M $117M
2023 $3.09B $47.2M $332M $212M
2024 $3.02B $46.8M $333M $224M
2025 $3.37B $113M $320M $323M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $823M $23.2M
Sep 2025 $844M $39.5M
Dec 2025 $929M $28.2M
Mar 2026 $1.11B $62.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership100.9%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding3.20%
Number of Funds Holding263

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$159.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$118.24Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$95.35Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$83.43Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$118.41Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$95.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$85.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$124.00 support 1.63x 0 months ago
$97.00 support 1.43x 4 months ago
$78.00 support 1.51x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (80 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.62% 0.00% 47.50% 11.86% -14.59%
1 Day -0.76% -0.42% 45.00% 19.54% -15.87%
1 Week -0.23% -0.57% 45.00% 18.96% -19.90%
2 Weeks -0.89% 0.11% 50.00% 23.66% -55.31%
1 Month 0.07% -0.63% 46.84% 29.41% -44.39%

Next earnings: July 11, 2026 (42 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.2%50.0%20
Feb2.4%60.0%20
Mar0.3%50.0%20
Apr5.4%70.0%20
May-0.0%47.4%19
Jun0.9%57.9%19
Jul0.4%47.4%19
Aug-1.6%45.0%20
Sep-0.8%45.0%20
Oct0.6%60.0%20
Nov2.6%70.0%20
Dec3.6%60.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 50.9% 938
Tuesday 0.22% 53.4% 1028
Wednesday 0.09% 49.8% 1026
Thursday -0.16% 51.4% 1006
Friday 0.05% 50.6% 1003

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$16.9M
Net Shares Change-141,091
% of Float-0.9%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Harvey Keith President and CEO -$11.7M 3 3 sell
DONNAN JOHN MALCOLM EVP, CAO and GC -$2.8M 2 2 sell
Wilcox Brett -$2.6M 1 1 sell
West Neal E EVP and CFO -$1.5M 2 2 sell
Grimley Richard P. -$261,396.48 1 1 sell
Gheorghe Iulian SVP - Adv Eng and Innovation -$30,488.5 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-29 – 2026-05-01 7 6 -$13.0M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-29 Harvey Keith President and CEO -$8.2M Transaction at $175.09, now +5.1%
2026-04-29 West Neal E EVP and CFO -$866,450 Transaction at $173.29, now +6.2%
2026-04-29 DONNAN JOHN MALCOLM EVP, CAO and GC -$488,806.715 Transaction at $178.20, now +3.2%
2026-05-01 Harvey Keith President and CEO -$524,757.03 Transaction at $173.13, now +6.3%
2026-04-29 Wilcox Brett -$2.6M Transaction at $174.44, now +5.5%
2026-05-01 Grimley Richard P. -$261,396.48 Transaction at $171.52, now +7.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KALU on Trend Edge →