CSTM — Constellium Nv

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CSTM Bullish with a Setup Score of 70, net conviction 43, actionability 114. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score70
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability114 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Constellium Nv

Constellium SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of rolled and extruded aluminum products for the aerospace, packaging, automotive, commercial transportation, general industrial, and defense end-markets. It operates through three segments: Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products, Aerospace & Transportation, and Automotive Structures & Industry. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$27.08
Market Cap$3.60B
Float123.4M
Shares Outstanding135.5M
P/E (Forward)8.16
P/E (TTM)6.86
Price/Sales (TTM)0.38
vs. Analyst Target+41.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.69%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.92%
Revenue (TTM)$9.58B
Earnings Growth (YoY)316.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$38.30 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.88B -$21.0M $490M $367M
2021 $6.97B $291M $752M $803M
2022 $7.93B $286M $895M $501M
2023 $7.11B $138M $959M $581M
2024 $7.08B $54.1M $906M $523M
2025 $8.45B $273M $857M $852M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.17B $88.0M
Dec 2025 $2.20B $112M
Mar 2026 $2.46B $199M
Jun 2026 $2.75B $148M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.0%
Institutional Ownership92.0%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding4.33%
Number of Funds Holding381

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$28.87Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$26.70Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.90Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.59Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.28Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$31.20 resistance 1.01x 0 months ago
$26.50 support 1.41x 3 months ago
$22.40 support 1.61x 5 months ago
$10.30 support 1.18x 14 months ago
$9.80 support 1.23x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (54 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.23% 53.70% 11.31% -7.62%
1 Day 0.45% 0.46% 55.56% 25.04% -15.09%
1 Week 0.19% -0.52% 46.30% 25.04% -19.12%
2 Weeks -0.06% 0.63% 51.85% 23.62% -32.96%
1 Month 0.99% 3.00% 54.72% 54.92% -59.08%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.2%53.8%13
Feb5.7%84.6%13
Mar-6.7%30.8%13
Apr7.4%69.2%13
May0.7%61.5%13
Jun-0.5%50.0%14
Jul6.8%64.3%14
Aug0.4%38.5%13
Sep-3.5%38.5%13
Oct-9.2%38.5%13
Nov16.7%69.2%13
Dec-0.2%53.8%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 46.0% 626
Tuesday 0.18% 49.8% 687
Wednesday 0.22% 47.4% 682
Thursday 0.13% 49.5% 669
Friday -0.12% 48.2% 668

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings30
Net Value-$11.3M
Net Shares Change-88,974
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings23
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hoffmann Philippe President, A&T -$1.7M 2 1 buy, 2 sell
Becker Marcus SVP CPO -$391,750.94 2 1 buy, 2 sell
Ormerod John -$280,080 1 1 sell
Deslarzes Jean-Christophe +$123,076.9 3 3 buy
Soultz Bradley Lee +$84,600 1 1 buy
Corre Stephane President, AS&I +N/A 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-24 – 2026-03-06 6 5 -$3.0M 5 C-suite
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-17 10 8 -$2.8M 9 C-suite
2026-05-01 – 2026-05-13 9 8 -$5.5M 7 C-suite
2026-05-18 – 2026-06-01 3 3 -$436,154.99 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-03 Deslarzes Jean-Christophe +$40,587.6 Transaction at $27.24, now -0.6%
2026-03-11 Hoffmann Philippe President, A&T -$122,313.36 Transaction at $25.87, now +4.7%
2026-03-11 Becker Marcus SVP CPO -$28,793.31 Transaction at $25.87, now +4.7%
2026-06-01 Becker Marcus SVP CPO -$362,957.63 Transaction at $34.93, now -22.5%
2026-03-11 Corre Stephane President, AS&I +N/A N/A
2026-06-08 Ormerod John -$280,080 Transaction at $35.01, now -22.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Constellium Nv (CSTM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CSTM on Trend Edge →