CSTM — Constellium Nv

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CSTM Bullish with a Setup Score of 18, net conviction 56, actionability 6. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score18
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction56
Actionability6 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Constellium Nv

Constellium SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of rolled and extruded aluminum products for the aerospace, packaging, automotive, commercial transportation, general industrial, and defense end-markets. It operates through three segments: Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products, Aerospace & Transportation, and Automotive Structures & Industry. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$29.28
Market Cap$4.04B
Float124.2M
Shares Outstanding136.2M
P/E (Forward)8.16
P/E (TTM)9.47
Price/Sales (TTM)0.45
vs. Analyst Target+28.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.27%
Revenue (TTM)$8.93B
Earnings Growth (YoY)446.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$37.57 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.88B -$21.0M $490M $367M
2021 $6.97B $291M $752M $803M
2022 $7.93B $286M $895M $501M
2023 $7.11B $138M $959M $581M
2024 $7.08B $54.1M $906M $523M
2025 $8.45B $273M $857M $852M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.79B $30.6M
Sep 2025 $2.17B $88.0M
Dec 2025 $2.20B $112M
Mar 2026 $2.46B $199M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.0%
Institutional Ownership92.0%
Short Float4.9%
% of All Funds Holding3.52%
Number of Funds Holding289

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$32.73Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$24.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.30Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.99Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.52Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.01Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$26.50 support 1.41x 2 months ago
$22.40 support 1.61x 4 months ago
$10.30 support 1.18x 13 months ago
$9.80 support 1.23x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (53 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.20% 0.22% 52.83% 11.31% -7.62%
1 Day 0.40% 0.37% 54.72% 25.04% -15.09%
1 Week 0.13% -0.52% 45.28% 25.04% -19.12%
2 Weeks -0.16% 0.41% 50.94% 23.62% -32.96%
1 Month 0.78% 2.73% 53.85% 54.92% -59.08%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.2%53.8%13
Feb5.7%84.6%13
Mar-6.7%30.8%13
Apr7.4%69.2%13
May0.7%61.5%13
Jun-0.5%50.0%14
Jul8.3%69.2%13
Aug0.4%38.5%13
Sep-3.5%38.5%13
Oct-9.2%38.5%13
Nov16.7%69.2%13
Dec-0.2%53.8%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 46.0% 619
Tuesday 0.18% 49.7% 680
Wednesday 0.24% 47.6% 675
Thursday 0.13% 49.5% 662
Friday -0.12% 48.3% 661

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings29
Net Value-$11.3M
Net Shares Change-90,464
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings23
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hoffmann Philippe President, A&T -$1.7M 2 1 buy, 2 sell
Jurkovic Philip Ryan SVP & CHRO -$1.6M 1 1 sell
Brun Nicolas SVP PA, Comm & Sust -$902,474.85 1 1 sell
Guo Jack Q. EVP & CFO -$822,056.62 1 1 sell
Becker Marcus SVP CPO -$391,750.94 2 1 buy, 2 sell
Jarrett Martin SVP Chief Innovation Officer -$157,797.36 1 1 sell
Soultz Bradley Lee +$84,600 1 1 buy
Deslarzes Jean-Christophe +$41,247.25 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-24 – 2026-03-06 6 5 -$3.0M 5 C-suite
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-17 10 8 -$2.8M 9 C-suite
2026-05-01 – 2026-05-13 9 8 -$5.5M 7 C-suite
2026-05-18 – 2026-06-01 3 3 -$436,154.99 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-18 Soultz Bradley Lee +$84,600 Transaction at $33.84, now -13.5%
2026-03-11 Hoffmann Philippe President, A&T -$122,313.36 Transaction at $25.87, now +13.2%
2026-03-11 Becker Marcus SVP CPO -$28,793.31 Transaction at $25.87, now +13.2%
2026-05-01 Deslarzes Jean-Christophe +$41,247.25 Transaction at $31.13, now -5.9%
2026-05-05 Hoffmann Philippe President, A&T -$1.6M Transaction at $31.92, now -8.3%
2026-05-04 Jurkovic Philip Ryan SVP & CHRO -$1.6M Transaction at $32.01, now -8.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Constellium Nv (CSTM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CSTM on Trend Edge →