HMN — Horace Mann Educators Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Horace Mann Educators Corporation

Horace Mann Educators Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an insurance holding company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Property & Casualty, Life & Retirement, and Supplemental & Group Benefits segments. The Property & Casualty segment offers insurance products, including private passenger auto insurance, residential home insurance, and personal umbrella insurance; standard auto coverage including lia… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$46.77
Market Cap$1.92B
Float39.9M
Shares Outstanding40.4M
P/E (Forward)9.25
P/E (TTM)11.74
Price/Sales (TTM)1.12
vs. Analyst Target+11.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.91%
Revenue (TTM)$1.71B
Earnings Growth (YoY)8.70%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$52.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.29B $133M $416M $198M
2021 $1.25B $170M $409M $242M
2022 $1.34B $19.8M $333M $63.5M
2023 $1.43B $45.0M $357M $109M
2024 $1.55B $103M $478M $190M
2025 $1.62B $162M $572M $265M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $392M $29.4M
Sep 2025 $417M $58.3M
Dec 2025 $419M $36.2M
Mar 2026 $429M $41.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.6%
Institutional Ownership104.3%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.79%
Number of Funds Holding229

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$44.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$44.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$43.07Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$37.78Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$45.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$43.18Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$38.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$42.00 support 1.36x 11 months ago
$37.30 support 1.07x 17 months ago
$34.80 support 1.04x 18 months ago
$32.90 support 1.05x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.31% 0.00% 49.59% 8.03% -13.41%
1 Day 0.40% 0.13% 52.07% 17.43% -17.98%
1 Week 1.16% 0.06% 50.41% 28.21% -12.43%
2 Weeks 0.95% 0.97% 56.20% 35.34% -25.31%
1 Month 1.57% 2.45% 57.50% 32.56% -27.39%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.4%31.4%35
Feb0.3%45.7%35
Mar1.0%60.0%35
Apr0.4%42.9%35
May1.3%50.0%34
Jun0.0%52.9%34
Jul0.7%44.1%34
Aug2.1%64.7%34
Sep-1.1%47.1%34
Oct0.4%55.9%34
Nov1.1%52.9%34
Dec3.6%71.4%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 48.2% 1636
Tuesday 0.08% 48.9% 1786
Wednesday -0.02% 47.6% 1781
Thursday 0.07% 50.2% 1748
Friday 0.05% 47.0% 1739

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings24
Net Value-$3.3M
Net Shares Change-70,356
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings19
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CONKLIN BRET A Executive Vice President -$559,756.704 4 4 sell
Carley Donald M General Counsel -$160,790 1 1 sell
Fetter Victor +$149,539.6 1 1 buy
Desrochers Mark R Senior Vice President -$141,000 1 1 sell
Reece Henry Wade -$59,575.32 1 1 sell
McClure Beverley J. -$45,985.74 1 N/A
Chauby Steven R Chief Marketing Officer +$7,632 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-25 – 2025-12-03 3 3 -$427,325.32 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-30 Chauby Steven R Chief Marketing Officer +$7,632 Transaction at $42.40, now +10.3%
2026-02-27 Fetter Victor +$149,539.6 Transaction at $42.73, now +9.5%
2025-11-25 Desrochers Mark R Senior Vice President -$141,000 Transaction at $47.00, now -0.5%
2025-08-26 Carley Donald M General Counsel -$160,790 Transaction at $45.94, now +1.8%
2025-05-30 CONKLIN BRET A Executive Vice President -$487,644.56 Transaction at $41.22, now +13.5%
2025-06-09 CONKLIN BRET A Executive Vice President -$15,632.82 Transaction at $39.44, now +18.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Horace Mann Educators Corporation (HMN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HMN on Trend Edge →