HMC — Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HMC Bullish with a Setup Score of 8, net conviction 33, actionability 2. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score8
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability2 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR

Honda Motor Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacturing, and distribution of motorcycles, automobiles, and power products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Power Product and Other Businesses. The Motorcycle Business segment produces motorcycles, including sports, business, and commuter models; and various… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$33.37
Market Cap$42.30B
Float1.30B
Shares Outstanding1.30B
P/E (Forward)24.75
Price/Sales (TTM)0.00
vs. Analyst Target-1.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.75%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.76%
Revenue (TTM)$22.52T
Earnings Growth (YoY)147.50%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$32.90 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $13.17T $657.42B $2.73T $2.08T
2022 $14.55T $707.07B $2.98T $2.36T
2023 $16.91T $651.42B $3.33T $1.64T
2024 $20.43T $1.11T $4.41T $2.50T
2025 $21.69T $835.84B $4.66T $2.12T
2026 $21.80T -$423.94B $3.60T -$329.49B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $5.29T $115.16B
Dec 2025 $5.34T $153.61B
Mar 2026 $5.82T -$889.38B
Jun 2026 $6.06T $450.92B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership4.2%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding4.30%
Number of Funds Holding378

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$29.22Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$28.25Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$29.33Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$29.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$28.64Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$29.28Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$30.57Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.30 support 1.51x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (94 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.02% 0.06% 51.06% 3.74% -4.06%
1 Day 0.05% 0.19% 53.19% 4.83% -3.86%
1 Week -0.07% 0.14% 51.06% 7.19% -11.84%
2 Weeks 0.43% -0.09% 48.94% 16.32% -9.21%
1 Month 0.90% 0.98% 51.61% 20.07% -17.74%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%60.9%46
Feb0.7%52.2%46
Mar0.7%52.2%46
Apr3.6%61.7%47
May-0.9%44.7%47
Jun0.7%46.8%47
Jul2.6%57.4%47
Aug-0.8%47.8%46
Sep-0.7%52.2%46
Oct0.7%50.0%46
Nov1.0%47.8%46
Dec2.6%60.9%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 48.3% 2212
Tuesday 0.03% 46.8% 2400
Wednesday 0.12% 47.3% 2398
Thursday 0.06% 48.4% 2352
Friday 0.03% 49.0% 2336

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 4.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HMC on Trend Edge →