GRNT — Granite Ridge Resources Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GRNT Bearish with a Setup Score of 58, net conviction 35, actionability 97. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score58
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability97 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Granite Ridge Resources Inc

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. operates as a non-operated oil and natural gas exploration and production company. It owns a portfolio of wells and acreage across the Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Haynesville, Denver-Julesburg (DJ), Appalachian basins, and other unconventional basins in the United States. The company is based in Dallas, Texas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.57
Market Cap$603M
Float58.1M
Shares Outstanding131.9M
P/E (Forward)8.20
Price/Sales (TTM)1.39
vs. Analyst Target+70.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-7.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)-37.66%
Revenue (TTM)$434M
Earnings Growth (YoY)59.20%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$7.80 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $87.1M -$23.9M -$19.9M $57.9M
2021 $290M $108M $151M $206M
2022 $497M $262M $316M $383M
2023 $394M $81.1M $145M $272M
2024 $380M $18.8M $120M $220M
2025 $450M $24.4M $122M $273M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $109M $25.1M
Sep 2025 $113M $14.5M
Dec 2025 $105M -$25.1M
Mar 2026 $128M -$47.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.4%
Institutional Ownership80.9%
Short Float7.8%
% of All Funds Holding1.67%
Number of Funds Holding137

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.08Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.22Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.43Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.86Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.90 resistance 1.42x 0 months ago
$6.00 resistance 1.38x 1 months ago
$6.30 resistance 1.16x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.49% 0.00% 47.83% 3.97% -11.99%
1 Day 0.63% 0.10% 60.87% 15.61% -10.71%
1 Week 2.77% 0.51% 73.91% 13.61% -4.49%
2 Weeks 4.27% 1.03% 73.91% 17.42% -7.54%
1 Month 1.36% 0.46% 63.64% 19.37% -21.64%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.18% 46.0% 265
Tuesday -0.11% 45.2% 294
Wednesday 0.12% 46.2% 292
Thursday 0.00% 45.1% 284
Friday 0.01% 44.5% 283

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings36
Net Value+$188,515
Net Shares Change287,970
% of Float0.5%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Perry Griffin +$549,000 1 1 buy
Miller Matthew Reade +$148,526.92 3 3 buy
MCCARTNEY JOHN +$59,430 3 3 buy
Farquharson Tyler President and CEO +$51,500 1 1 buy
Kettler Ronald Kyle Chief Financial Officer +$30,480 1 1 buy
Everard Michele J +$5,280 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-12 – 2025-08-25 7 3 +$195,724.2
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-17 8 5 +$222,813.7 3 C-suite
2026-05-13 – 2026-05-22 6 5 +$740,087.8 1 C-suite
2026-05-29 – 2026-06-11 3 3 +$100,670 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-29 Kettler Ronald Kyle Chief Financial Officer +$30,480 Transaction at $5.08, now -10.0%
2026-05-13 Farquharson Tyler President and CEO +$51,500 Transaction at $5.15, now -11.3%
2026-06-16 Miller Matthew Reade +$3,459.12 Transaction at $4.97, now -8.0%
2026-05-18 Perry Griffin +$549,000 Transaction at $5.49, now -16.8%
2026-06-11 MCCARTNEY JOHN +$19,840 Transaction at $4.96, now -7.9%
2026-05-22 MCCARTNEY JOHN +$22,160 Transaction at $5.54, now -17.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Granite Ridge Resources Inc (GRNT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GRNT on Trend Edge →