GRNT — Granite Ridge Resources Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GRNT Bearish with a Setup Score of 55, net conviction 30, actionability 100. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score55
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction30
Actionability100 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Granite Ridge Resources Inc

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. operates as a non-operated oil and natural gas exploration and production company. It owns a portfolio of wells and acreage across the Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Haynesville, Denver-Julesburg (DJ), Appalachian basins, and other unconventional basins in the United States. The company is based in Dallas, Texas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.77
Market Cap$633M
Float72.7M
Shares Outstanding131.9M
P/E (Forward)8.16
Price/Sales (TTM)1.34
vs. Analyst Target+63.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-5.84%
Operating Margin (TTM)36.45%
Revenue (TTM)$472M
Earnings Growth (YoY)19.70%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$7.80 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $87.1M -$23.9M -$19.9M $57.9M
2021 $290M $108M $151M $206M
2022 $497M $262M $316M $383M
2023 $394M $81.1M $145M $272M
2024 $380M $18.8M $120M $220M
2025 $450M $24.4M $122M $273M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $113M $14.5M
Dec 2025 $105M -$25.1M
Mar 2026 $128M -$47.0M
Jun 2026 $149M $30.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.9%
Institutional Ownership75.5%
Short Float7.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.96%
Number of Funds Holding172

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.89Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.01Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.22Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.77Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.10 resistance 1.83x 0 months ago
$6.00 resistance 1.38x 4 months ago
$6.30 resistance 1.16x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.31% 0.03% 50.00% 3.97% -11.99%
1 Day 0.80% 0.15% 62.50% 15.61% -10.71%
1 Week 3.05% 0.56% 75.00% 13.61% -4.49%
2 Weeks 4.49% 1.92% 75.00% 17.42% -7.54%
1 Month 1.20% 0.46% 62.50% 19.37% -21.64%

Next earnings: November 5, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.19% 46.2% 277
Tuesday -0.08% 45.3% 307
Wednesday 0.11% 45.9% 305
Thursday -0.00% 44.8% 297
Friday 0.03% 44.9% 296

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 75.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings33
Net Value+$218,815
Net Shares Change274,696
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Perry Griffin +$549,000 1 1 buy
MCCARTNEY JOHN +$77,200 4 4 buy
Kettler Ronald Kyle Chief Financial Officer +$60,780 2 2 buy
Farquharson Tyler President and CEO +$51,500 1 1 buy
Miller Matthew Reade +$50,300 1 1 buy
Everard Michele J +$5,000 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-17 8 5 +$222,813.7 3 C-suite
2026-05-13 – 2026-05-22 6 5 +$740,087.8 1 C-suite
2026-05-29 – 2026-06-11 3 3 +$100,670 1 C-suite
2026-09-02 – 2026-09-14 3 3 +$105,800 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-08 Kettler Ronald Kyle Chief Financial Officer +$30,300 Transaction at $5.05, now -5.5%
2026-09-14 Miller Matthew Reade +$50,300 Transaction at $5.03, now -5.2%
2026-09-02 MCCARTNEY JOHN +$25,200 Transaction at $5.04, now -5.4%
2026-08-17 MCCARTNEY JOHN +$10,000 Transaction at $5.00, now -4.6%
2026-08-17 Everard Michele J +$5,000 Transaction at $5.00, now -4.6%
2026-05-29 Kettler Ronald Kyle Chief Financial Officer +$30,480 Transaction at $5.08, now -6.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Granite Ridge Resources Inc (GRNT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GRNT on Trend Edge →