Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates GPRK Bullish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 27, actionability 32. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
29
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
27
Actionability
32 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 8.98 vs px 9.74)
Fresh Trend Turn — 80wk turn 19w+40wk turn 32w
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 8.00 vs px 9.74)
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +2.99 · age 39w×0.86 · 5.45%
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About GeoPark Ltd
GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in May 2009. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Founder-Led: Yes — James Franklin Park (Co-Founder & Vice Chair)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$9.74
Market Cap
$635M
Float
19.3M
Shares Outstanding
64.9M
P/E (Forward)
2.13
P/E (TTM)
6.89
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.25
vs. Analyst Target
+11.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
16.00%
Operating Margin (TTM)
27.52%
Revenue (TTM)
$507M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.00%
Dividend Rate
0.1%
Analyst Target Price
$10.85 (6 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$394M
-$233M
$151M
-$12.3M
2021
$689M
$61.1M
$387M
$267M
2022
$1.05B
$224M
$593M
$534M
2023
$757M
$111M
$403M
$373M
2024
$661M
$96.4M
$366M
$409M
2025
$493M
$49.7M
$234M
$220M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$119M
$15.9M
Dec 2025
$117M
$31.1M
Mar 2026
$128M
$20.2M
Jun 2026
$185M
$14.0M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
55.9%
Institutional Ownership
27.5%
Short Float
4.7%
% of All Funds Holding
0.84%
Number of Funds Holding
74
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$9.61
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$8.98
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$8.00
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$9.39
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$9.04
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$8.14
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$8.77
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$8.70
support
1.60x
4 months ago
$6.40
support
1.82x
9 months ago
$10.50
resistance
1.79x
19 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (55 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.21%
0.00%
49.09%
9.24%
-8.57%
1 Day
0.21%
0.00%
45.45%
11.64%
-6.59%
1 Week
-0.62%
0.00%
49.09%
28.66%
-50.67%
2 Weeks
0.38%
0.00%
47.27%
45.70%
-65.66%
1 Month
2.91%
1.31%
53.70%
54.90%
-50.39%
Next earnings: August 4, 2026
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
3.4%
50.0%
16
Feb
-1.0%
43.8%
16
Mar
-0.3%
37.5%
16
Apr
5.5%
50.0%
16
May
1.4%
56.3%
16
Jun
0.5%
50.0%
16
Jul
1.2%
50.0%
16
Aug
-5.1%
40.0%
15
Sep
-2.0%
33.3%
15
Oct
5.2%
40.0%
15
Nov
1.5%
43.8%
16
Dec
1.3%
43.8%
16
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.03%
41.2%
748
Tuesday
0.01%
38.8%
820
Wednesday
-0.01%
39.2%
817
Thursday
0.09%
39.5%
802
Friday
0.12%
38.5%
799
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 27.5%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 55.9%
Founder-led management: James Franklin Park (Co-Founder & Vice Chair)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GeoPark Ltd
(GPRK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.