GPRK — GeoPark Ltd

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GPRK Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 24, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About GeoPark Ltd

GeoPark Limited operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador, and other Latin American countries. It engages in the exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The company was formerly known as GeoPark Holdings Limited and changed its name to GeoPark Limited in May 2009. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.54
Market Cap$743M
Float19.4M
Shares Outstanding64.9M
P/E (Forward)2.13
P/E (TTM)7.90
Price/Sales (TTM)1.47
vs. Analyst Target-6.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.00%
Operating Margin (TTM)27.52%
Revenue (TTM)$507M
Earnings Growth (YoY)44.00%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$10.85 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $394M -$233M $151M -$12.3M
2021 $689M $61.1M $387M $267M
2022 $1.05B $224M $593M $534M
2023 $757M $111M $403M $373M
2024 $661M $96.4M $366M $409M
2025 $493M $49.7M $234M $220M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $119M $15.9M
Dec 2025 $117M $31.1M
Mar 2026 $128M $20.2M
Jun 2026 $185M $14.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership55.8%
Institutional Ownership27.4%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.84%
Number of Funds Holding74

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.62Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.55Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.23Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.29Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.44Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.86Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.70 support 1.60x 6 months ago
$6.40 support 1.82x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (55 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.00% 49.09% 9.24% -8.57%
1 Day 0.21% 0.00% 45.45% 11.64% -6.59%
1 Week -0.62% 0.00% 49.09% 28.66% -50.67%
2 Weeks 0.38% 0.00% 47.27% 45.70% -65.66%
1 Month 2.91% 1.31% 53.70% 54.90% -50.39%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.4%50.0%16
Feb-1.0%43.8%16
Mar-0.3%37.5%16
Apr5.5%50.0%16
May1.4%56.3%16
Jun0.5%50.0%16
Jul1.2%50.0%16
Aug-3.9%43.8%16
Sep-2.2%31.3%16
Oct5.2%40.0%15
Nov1.5%43.8%16
Dec1.3%43.8%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 41.2% 753
Tuesday 0.02% 39.0% 826
Wednesday -0.01% 39.1% 823
Thursday 0.10% 39.7% 808
Friday 0.11% 38.4% 805

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 27.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 55.8%

Founder-led management: James Franklin Park (Co-Founder & Vice Chair)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-327,000
% of Float-1.7%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
PARK JAMES FRANKLIN -$3.2M 3 3 sell
Escovar Gomez Sylvia -$65,170 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-10 PARK JAMES FRANKLIN -$1.2M Transaction at $11.92, now -3.2%
2026-08-12 PARK JAMES FRANKLIN -$1.2M Transaction at $9.65, now +19.6%
2026-05-13 Escovar Gomez Sylvia -$65,170 Transaction at $9.31, now +24.0%
2026-04-22 PARK JAMES FRANKLIN -$882,900 Transaction at $8.83, now +30.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GeoPark Ltd (GPRK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GPRK on Trend Edge →