Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About FutureFuel Corp
FutureFuel Corp., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells diversified inorganic chemicals, bio-based fuel, and bio-based specialty chemical products in the United States. It operates through two segments: Chemicals and Biofuels. The Chemicals segment includes custom chemicals that are used in coatings, chemical intermediates, industrial and consumer cleaning, oil and gas, and specialty chemicals for specific customers under long-te… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: May 9, 1986
Headquarters: 2800 Gap Road, Batesville, AR, United States, 72501
Founder-Led: Yes — Paul Anthony Novelly (Chairman Emeritus)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$4.07
Market Cap
$179M
Float
26.0M
Shares Outstanding
43.9M
P/E (Forward)
16.34
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.62
vs. Analyst Target
+244.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-47.10%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-65.23%
Revenue (TTM)
$110M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.70%
Dividend Rate
0.2%
Analyst Target Price
$14.00
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$205M
$46.6M
$31.3M
$33.5M
2021
$321M
$26.3M
$23.5M
$26.5M
2022
$396M
$15.2M
$29.0M
$24.3M
2023
$368M
$37.4M
$41.0M
$47.9M
2024
$243M
$15.5M
$19.6M
$25.6M
2025
$95.7M
-$49.4M
-$40.7M
-$44.6M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$35.7M
-$10.4M
Sep 2025
$22.7M
-$9.3M
Dec 2025
$19.8M
-$12.0M
Mar 2026
$32.0M
-$20.6M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
42.3%
Institutional Ownership
36.0%
Short Float
3.3%
% of All Funds Holding
1.11%
Number of Funds Holding
91
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$4.26
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$3.84
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$4.14
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$5.82
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$3.87
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$4.25
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$5.52
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$3.90
support
1.67x
0 months ago
$3.30
support
1.55x
2 months ago
$8.10
resistance
1.59x
24 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (61 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-1.39%
0.00%
42.62%
19.76%
-28.74%
1 Day
-2.69%
-1.63%
47.54%
20.33%
-34.01%
1 Week
-1.53%
-1.89%
42.62%
27.97%
-26.72%
2 Weeks
-1.78%
-2.94%
40.00%
29.45%
-28.44%
1 Month
-2.33%
-4.30%
36.67%
35.68%
-28.74%
Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (63 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-0.1%
53.3%
15
Feb
1.2%
60.0%
15
Mar
0.1%
33.3%
15
Apr
0.4%
50.0%
16
May
-2.6%
40.0%
15
Jun
2.3%
60.0%
15
Jul
0.6%
46.7%
15
Aug
-4.0%
40.0%
15
Sep
0.8%
40.0%
15
Oct
4.7%
53.3%
15
Nov
-0.1%
40.0%
15
Dec
0.3%
53.3%
15
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.01%
50.4%
714
Tuesday
0.01%
49.6%
785
Wednesday
0.05%
49.0%
781
Thursday
0.01%
47.0%
768
Friday
0.03%
48.2%
767
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 36.0%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 42.3%
Founder-led management: Paul Anthony Novelly (Chairman Emeritus)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
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share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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