FANG — Diamondback Energy Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Diamondback Energy Inc

Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, develops, explores, and exploits unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas, the United States. The company primarily focuses on the development of the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland Basin; and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, both of which are part of the Permian Basin in Wes… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$192.84
Market Cap$56.54B
Float195.3M
Shares Outstanding281.3M
P/E (Forward)9.01
P/E (TTM)205.07
Price/Sales (TTM)3.91
vs. Analyst Target+20.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.79%
Revenue (TTM)$14.46B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-98.40%
Dividend Rate4.4%
Analyst Target Price$231.76 (31 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.81B -$4.52B $637M -$4.27B
2021 $6.75B $2.18B $4.27B $4.37B
2022 $9.57B $4.39B $6.70B $7.23B
2023 $8.34B $3.14B $4.80B $6.17B
2024 $11.02B $3.34B $4.97B $7.64B
2025 $15.03B $1.66B $5.28B $7.16B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.65B $699M
Sep 2025 $3.92B $1.02B
Dec 2025 $3.38B -$1.46B
Mar 2026 $4.24B $144M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership30.6%
Institutional Ownership70.3%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding13.68%
Number of Funds Holding1,124

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$195.25Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$164.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$157.98Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$159.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$167.23Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$161.31Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$163.28Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$191.00 support 1.31x 0 months ago
$182.00 support 1.96x 1 months ago
$159.00 support 1.04x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (55 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.36% 0.14% 52.73% 10.10% -11.30%
1 Day 0.58% 1.20% 67.27% 7.76% -14.44%
1 Week 1.72% 1.28% 58.18% 21.73% -15.32%
2 Weeks 2.31% 2.39% 60.00% 34.64% -18.09%
1 Month 1.08% -0.64% 47.27% 70.41% -75.07%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%71.4%14
Feb3.6%50.0%14
Mar0.6%71.4%14
Apr6.4%71.4%14
May1.4%38.5%13
Jun2.3%61.5%13
Jul0.0%53.8%13
Aug0.2%61.5%13
Sep-1.8%46.2%13
Oct3.5%61.5%13
Nov3.5%50.0%14
Dec1.7%57.1%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 52.6% 642
Tuesday 0.19% 53.4% 704
Wednesday 0.12% 52.8% 701
Thursday 0.09% 52.1% 687
Friday 0.14% 55.2% 687

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 70.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 30.6%

Founder-led management: Travis Stice (Executive Chairman of the Board), Kaes Van't Hof (CEO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings38
Net Value-$43.3M
Net Shares Change-18,520,299
% of Float-9.5%
C-Suite Filings24
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Stice Travis D. Executive Chairman -$18.1M 1 2 sell
Zmigrosky Matt EVP, Chief Legal and Admin Off -$4.8M 2 2 sell
Wesson Daniel N Exec. VP and COO -$3.6M 1 1 sell
Dick Teresa L. CAO, Exec. VP, Assist. Sec. -$2.0M 2 2 sell
Van't Hof Matthew Kaes Chief Executive Officer -$1.8M 1 1 sell
Barkmann Albert Exec. VP and Chief Engineer -$1.3M 2 2 sell
Thompson Jere W III CFO, Executive VP -$203,160.2 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-18 3 3 -$2.1M 3 C-suite
2025-12-01 – 2025-12-10 4 3 -$358M 1 C-suite
2026-03-05 – 2026-03-19 15 11 -$2.93B 10 C-suite
2026-03-23 – 2026-03-24 3 3 -$25.2M 2 C-suite
2026-05-11 – 2026-05-21 6 5 -$6.8M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-10 Stice Travis D. Executive Chairman -$18.1M Transaction at $181.12, now +6.5%
2026-05-19 Barkmann Albert Exec. VP and Chief Engineer -$612,112.5 Transaction at $204.04, now -5.5%
2026-05-21 Dick Teresa L. CAO, Exec. VP, Assist. Sec. -$1.0M Transaction at $207.00, now -6.8%
2026-05-14 Zmigrosky Matt EVP, Chief Legal and Admin Off -$1.0M Transaction at $200.10, now -3.6%
2026-05-14 Dick Teresa L. CAO, Exec. VP, Assist. Sec. -$1.0M Transaction at $200.00, now -3.6%
2026-03-17 Zmigrosky Matt EVP, Chief Legal and Admin Off -$3.8M Transaction at $180.00, now +7.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FANG on Trend Edge →