80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 4.31 vs px 3.67)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 5.45 vs px 3.67)
Short Attack — velZ +2.31 · age 74w×0.49 · 8.30%
Seasonal Headwind — october med -3.8% (mag 1/3) · posClose 30.00% (rel 2/3) · n30 ×1 = 8.8
RS Breakdown — momZ +1.17 · low 7w×1.00 · vs industry
About Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc
Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an energy company, engages in the ownership, exploitation, development, production, and investment of onshore oil and gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Houston, Texas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas E&P
Exchange: NYSE MKT
IPO Date: April 10, 1996
Headquarters: 1155 Dairy Ashford Road, Houston, TX, United States, 77079
Founder-Led: Yes — Robert Stevens Herlin (Co-Founder & Non-Executive Chairman)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$3.67
Market Cap
$146M
Float
35.5M
Shares Outstanding
40.2M
P/E (Forward)
59.88
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.69
vs. Analyst Target
+34.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-2.81%
Operating Margin (TTM)
25.07%
Revenue (TTM)
$86.3M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.00%
Dividend Rate
0.5%
Analyst Target Price
$4.94 (3 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2021
$32.7M
-$16.4M
$11.2M
-$16.2M
2022
$109M
$32.6M
$52.7M
$49.8M
2023
$129M
$35.2M
$55.8M
$60.0M
2024
$85.9M
$4.1M
$19.0M
$27.0M
2025
$85.8M
$1.5M
$14.5M
$26.8M
2026
$86.3M
-$2.4M
$14.8M
$3.5M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$21.3M
$824,000
Dec 2025
$20.7M
$1.1M
Mar 2026
$20.2M
-$8.9M
Jun 2026
$24.2M
$4.6M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
9.6%
Institutional Ownership
45.7%
Short Float
8.3%
% of All Funds Holding
1.34%
Number of Funds Holding
118
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$3.66
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$4.06
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$4.31
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$5.45
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$4.03
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$4.28
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$5.13
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$4.80
resistance
1.72x
11 months ago
$5.10
resistance
1.36x
12 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (84 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.04%
0.00%
46.43%
19.24%
-27.26%
1 Day
0.02%
0.14%
50.00%
16.16%
-27.26%
1 Week
-0.28%
-0.40%
46.43%
29.63%
-27.26%
2 Weeks
0.53%
0.67%
52.38%
33.33%
-47.86%
1 Month
0.52%
0.61%
53.01%
35.75%
-61.76%
Next earnings: November 10, 2026 (31 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
16.5%
63.3%
30
Feb
3.4%
53.3%
30
Mar
6.5%
46.7%
30
Apr
2.0%
46.7%
30
May
9.1%
61.3%
31
Jun
-4.1%
38.7%
31
Jul
-0.8%
51.6%
31
Aug
-3.0%
35.5%
31
Sep
5.0%
48.4%
31
Oct
-8.9%
30.0%
30
Nov
1.3%
43.3%
30
Dec
-1.4%
50.0%
30
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.27%
39.7%
1443
Tuesday
0.21%
38.2%
1575
Wednesday
0.19%
37.8%
1573
Thursday
0.51%
38.9%
1542
Friday
0.50%
39.8%
1536
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 45.7%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 9.6%
Founder-led management: Robert Stevens Herlin (Co-Founder & Non-Executive Chairman)
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