EP — Empire Petroleum Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EP Bearish with a Setup Score of 52, net conviction 49, actionability 55. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score52
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction49
Actionability55 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Empire Petroleum Corp

Empire Petroleum Corporation engages in the optimization and development of oil and gas interests in the United States. It operates properties in New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, Texas, and Louisiana. The company was formerly known as Americomm Resources Corporation and changed its name to Empire Petroleum Corporation in August 2001. Empire Petroleum Corporation was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Tulsa, Oklahoma.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.15
Market Cap$123M
Float28.7M
Shares Outstanding41.6M
Price/Sales (TTM)3.49
Profit Margin-202.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)-13.87%
Revenue (TTM)$35.3M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.0M -$16.8M $2.5M -$13.2M
2021 $27.7M -$18.6M $9.8M -$7.4M
2022 $53.3M $7.1M $23.8M $10.0M
2023 $40.1M -$12.5M $5.4M -$8.1M
2024 $44.0M -$16.2M $3.5M -$4.9M
2025 $34.2M -$72.1M -$6.6M -$57.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $9.4M -$3.8M
Dec 2025 $7.1M -$59.0M
Mar 2026 $7.7M -$6.6M
Jun 2026 $9.5M -$1.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership60.3%
Institutional Ownership5.5%
Short Float0.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.36%
Number of Funds Holding32

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.87Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.61Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.25Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.84Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.63Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.50 resistance 2.46x 6 months ago
$4.40 resistance 1.54x 11 months ago
$5.30 resistance 1.01x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (39 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -4.63% 0.00% 25.64% 6.90% -90.58%
1 Day 0.69% 0.00% 38.46% 22.83% -14.49%
1 Week -1.03% -0.86% 38.46% 75.32% -51.52%
2 Weeks 2.54% 0.61% 51.28% 79.75% -43.75%
1 Month 0.16% 0.00% 48.72% 121.52% -49.67%

Next earnings: November 16, 2026 (37 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan29.8%59.3%27
Feb12.2%59.3%27
Mar30.3%44.4%27
Apr-3.9%37.0%27
May11.2%48.1%27
Jun0.1%40.7%27
Jul3.0%37.0%27
Aug1.1%40.7%27
Sep4.2%29.6%27
Oct-1.6%30.8%26
Nov-6.3%37.0%27
Dec-1.6%40.7%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 20.7% 1272
Tuesday 0.46% 23.8% 1390
Wednesday 0.22% 23.4% 1390
Thursday 0.89% 24.5% 1364
Friday 1.77% 25.8% 1358

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 5.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 60.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$720,951.68
Net Shares Change646,292
% of Float2.3%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mulacek Phil E +$1.7M 6 6 buy
Matschke Mason H. +$33,483.776 2 2 buy
Watson Matthew E. Chief Accounting Officer -$15,645 1 1 sell
Marchive Benjamin J. II +$6,281.8 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-07 – 2025-11-19 3 3 +$901,124.7 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-10-05 Mulacek Phil E +$26,825.431 Transaction at $2.25, now +39.9%
2026-09-15 Matschke Mason H. +$13,730.196 Transaction at $2.38, now +32.5%
2026-09-09 Watson Matthew E. Chief Accounting Officer -$15,645 Transaction at $3.13, now +0.7%
2026-06-02 Matschke Mason H. +$19,753.58 Transaction at $2.54, now +24.0%
2025-11-07 Mulacek Phil E +$1.6M Transaction at $2.64, now +19.1%
2025-11-19 Marchive Benjamin J. II +$6,281.8 Transaction at $3.14, now +0.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Empire Petroleum Corp (EP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EP on Trend Edge →