CYD — China Yuchai International Limited

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CYD Bullish with a Setup Score of 56, net conviction 52, actionability 60. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score56
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability60 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About China Yuchai International Limited

China Yuchai International Limited manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel and natural gas engines for trucks, buses, pickups, construction and agricultural equipment, and marine and power generation applications. It operates through two segments: Yuchai and HLGE. The Yuchai segment manufactures on- and off-road powertrain solutions and applications. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$39.88
Market Cap$1.76B
Float11.4M
Shares Outstanding37.5M
P/E (Forward)12.61
P/E (TTM)15.12
Price/Sales (TTM)0.42
vs. Analyst Target+71.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.74%
Revenue (TTM)$26.45B
Earnings Growth (YoY)51.90%
Dividend Rate0.9%
Analyst Target Price$68.47 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $20.58B $549M $3.19B $1.61B
2021 $21.27B $273M $2.77B $1.14B
2022 $16.03B $219M $2.19B $1.11B
2023 $18.05B $286M $2.92B $1.33B
2024 $19.13B $323M $2.82B $1.17B
2025 $23.99B $523M $3.96B $1.91B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $6.90B $183M
Dec 2025 $11.57B $168M
Mar 2026 $11.57B $168M
Jun 2026 $14.50B $554M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership68.9%
Institutional Ownership25.1%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.39%
Number of Funds Holding122

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$45.17Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$44.25Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$34.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$43.78Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$33.79Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$21.67Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$56.00 resistance 1.17x 1 months ago
$32.90 support 1.15x 10 months ago
$22.50 support 1.32x 11 months ago
$17.20 support 1.17x 13 months ago
$10.50 support 6.43x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.54% 0.19% 56.41% 12.04% -3.20%
1 Day -0.32% 0.03% 50.00% 9.86% -15.39%
1 Week -0.97% -1.85% 38.46% 18.20% -15.70%
2 Weeks -0.25% -1.25% 46.15% 25.31% -19.89%
1 Month 0.95% -0.37% 48.72% 31.69% -31.49%

Next earnings: October 26, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.9%62.5%32
Feb0.6%46.9%32
Mar2.6%43.8%32
Apr6.6%53.1%32
May4.1%62.5%32
Jun1.5%43.8%32
Jul0.8%34.4%32
Aug1.2%48.4%31
Sep-0.7%48.4%31
Oct3.7%45.2%31
Nov1.8%41.9%31
Dec-2.0%29.0%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.19% 44.2% 1498
Tuesday -0.01% 43.4% 1636
Wednesday 0.09% 42.8% 1635
Thursday 0.10% 41.9% 1603
Friday 0.17% 44.5% 1595

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 25.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 68.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$276,171.72
Net Shares Change0
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Loo Choon Sen Chief Financial Officer -$276,171.72 1 1 sell
Neo Poh Kiat -$157,297.6 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-18 Loo Choon Sen Chief Financial Officer -$276,171.72 Transaction at $36.49, now +9.3%
2026-08-18 Neo Poh Kiat -$157,297.6 Transaction at $35.86, now +11.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CYD on Trend Edge →