CRTO — Criteo Sa

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CRTO Bearish with a Setup Score of 59, net conviction 41, actionability 84. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score59
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction41
Actionability84 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Criteo Sa

Criteo S.A., a technology company, provides platform to connects the commerce ecosystem for brands, agencies, retailers, and media owners to drive measurable business outcomes in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Retail Media and Performance Media. The Retail Media segment connects brands to shoppers at the digital point of sale through personalized ads that appear on reta… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$22.88
Market Cap$1.16B
Float44.6M
Shares Outstanding50.2M
P/E (Forward)5.85
P/E (TTM)10.71
Price/Sales (TTM)0.61
vs. Analyst Target+9.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.79%
Revenue (TTM)$1.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-77.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$25.00 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.07B $71.7M $688M $216M
2021 $2.25B $134M $782M $247M
2022 $2.02B $9.0M $795M $199M
2023 $1.95B $54.6M $863M $77.2M
2024 $1.93B $112M $983M $246M
2025 $1.94B $145M $1.05B $333M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $483M $21.3M
Sep 2025 $470M $37.8M
Dec 2025 $541M $47.6M
Mar 2026 $425M $7.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.0%
Institutional Ownership85.7%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.62%
Number of Funds Holding133

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$18.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.13Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.46Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$29.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.67Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$24.40 resistance 1.03x 9 months ago
$33.90 resistance 1.31x 13 months ago
$47.00 resistance 1.25x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (51 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.05% 0.15% 54.90% 17.60% -3.66%
1 Day 0.64% -0.61% 49.02% 21.79% -12.22%
1 Week 1.12% 0.31% 50.98% 28.38% -10.19%
2 Weeks 1.03% -1.95% 41.18% 37.63% -9.70%
1 Month 0.89% -0.92% 44.00% 40.95% -45.58%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (16 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.2%38.5%13
Feb17.6%76.9%13
Mar-9.1%38.5%13
Apr1.8%46.2%13
May-1.4%46.2%13
Jun5.1%53.8%13
Jul3.0%58.3%12
Aug-3.8%41.7%12
Sep-6.6%8.3%12
Oct-0.8%41.7%12
Nov5.7%76.9%13
Dec-2.1%38.5%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.25% 46.5% 598
Tuesday 0.08% 53.7% 657
Wednesday 0.28% 51.5% 652
Thursday -0.01% 47.7% 641
Friday 0.06% 50.9% 638

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 85.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change-45,569
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings15
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Glickman Sarah JS Chief Financial Officer -$425,415.039 3 3 sell
Damon Ryan Chief Legal Officer -$325,015.222 3 3 sell
van der Kooi Frederik +$248,630.39 3 3 buy
TEUNISSEN ERNST 02494 +$99,992.13 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-14 4 3 +$116,902.36 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-02 Glickman Sarah JS Chief Financial Officer -$18,167 Transaction at $18.50, now +23.7%
2026-06-02 Damon Ryan Chief Legal Officer -$19,961.5 Transaction at $18.50, now +23.7%
2026-05-28 Glickman Sarah JS Chief Financial Officer -$42,052.9 Transaction at $17.06, now +34.1%
2026-05-28 Damon Ryan Chief Legal Officer -$36,371.92 Transaction at $17.06, now +34.1%
2026-03-17 van der Kooi Frederik +$89,050 Transaction at $17.81, now +28.5%
2026-03-03 Damon Ryan Chief Legal Officer -$268,681.802 Transaction at $18.04, now +26.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Criteo Sa (CRTO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CRTO on Trend Edge →