CRC — California Resources Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CRC Bullish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 32, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction32
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About California Resources Corp

California Resources Corporation operates as an independent energy and carbon management company in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Oil and Natural Gas, and Carbon Management. It explores, develops, and produces crude oil, oil condensate, natural gas liquids and natural gas to california refineries, marketers, and other purchasers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$51.67
Market Cap$4.74B
Float83.2M
Shares Outstanding88.8M
P/E (Forward)10.21
Price/Sales (TTM)1.27
vs. Analyst Target+50.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-3.24%
Operating Margin (TTM)46.80%
Revenue (TTM)$3.74B
Earnings Growth (YoY)200.00%
Dividend Rate1.6%
Analyst Target Price$77.55 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.61B $1.88B $403M $2.45B
2021 $2.56B $612M $1.25B $546M
2022 $3.26B $524M $1.74B $1.05B
2023 $2.81B $564M $1.33B $1.07B
2024 $2.96B $376M $1.20B $1.08B
2025 $3.60B $363M $1.43B $1.23B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $878M $64.0M
Dec 2025 $871M $12.0M
Mar 2026 $967M -$711M
Jun 2026 $1.30B $514M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.9%
Institutional Ownership105.8%
Short Float3.8%
% of All Funds Holding4.10%
Number of Funds Holding361

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$52.67Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$55.83Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$50.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$49.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$55.88Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$50.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$51.34Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$34.40 support 1.07x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.78% 0.39% 58.33% 8.53% -3.30%
1 Day -0.24% -0.46% 45.83% 10.32% -12.36%
1 Week 2.86% 2.29% 62.50% 23.29% -15.41%
2 Weeks 2.25% -0.65% 45.83% 28.05% -11.78%
1 Month 7.38% 2.15% 70.83% 76.88% -14.44%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 47.6% 273
Tuesday 0.08% 53.0% 302
Wednesday 0.34% 54.0% 300
Thursday 0.12% 52.6% 293
Friday 0.07% 50.3% 292

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$6.9M
Net Shares Change-3,628,521
% of Float-4.4%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD -$214M 1 1 sell
Preston Michael L. EVP, Chf Strategy Officer & GC -$1.6M 1 1 sell
Hayat Omar EVP & Chief Operating Officer -$1.5M 1 1 sell
Gould Christopher D. EVP & Chief Sustainability Off -$1.5M 1 1 sell
Bys Jay A. EVP & Chief Commercial Officer -$1.3M 2 N/A
McFarland Mark Allen -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Repetti Noelle M. Senior VP and Controller -$545,590.174 1 1 sell
Leon Francisco President and CEO +$258,815.9 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-06 – 2026-03-16 5 5 -$218M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 Preston Michael L. EVP, Chf Strategy Officer & GC -$1.6M Transaction at $59.82, now -13.6%
2026-03-12 Gould Christopher D. EVP & Chief Sustainability Off -$1.5M Transaction at $62.21, now -16.9%
2026-03-10 Hayat Omar EVP & Chief Operating Officer -$1.5M Transaction at $65.87, now -21.6%
2026-03-06 Repetti Noelle M. Senior VP and Controller -$545,590.174 Transaction at $63.71, now -18.9%
2025-11-12 Leon Francisco President and CEO +$258,815.9 Transaction at $47.71, now +8.3%
2026-03-16 CANADA PENSION PLAN INVESTMENT BOARD -$214M Transaction at $61.10, now -15.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for California Resources Corp (CRC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CRC on Trend Edge →