Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates COE Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 20, actionability 89. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
42
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
20
Actionability
89 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
80wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 27.66 vs px 16.82)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 16.39 vs px 16.82)
Seasonal Tailwind — september med 9.6% (mag 2/3) · posClose 70.00% (rel 2/3) · n10 ×0.5 = 4
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About 51Talk Online Education Group
51Talk Online Education Group, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of online education platform with English language education services to students in the Asia-Pacific regions and internationally. It operates online and mobile education platforms that enable students to take live interactive English and Chinese lessons, on demand, fostering the development of all aspects of English and Chinese proficiency. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Founder-Led: Yes — Jack Jiajia Huang (Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Ting Shu (Co-Founder & Director)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$17.27
Market Cap
$100M
Float
1.8M
Shares Outstanding
4.3M
P/E (Forward)
3.03
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.92
vs. Analyst Target
-54.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-16.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-4.56%
Revenue (TTM)
$109M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
116.00%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$7.94 (2 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$314M
$21.2M
$226M
$21.9M
2021
$788,000
$18.7M
$658,000
-$4.0M
2022
$15.0M
-$12.8M
$11.9M
-$12.3M
2023
$27.1M
-$15.0M
$20.8M
-$14.8M
2024
$50.7M
-$7.2M
$39.5M
-$6.9M
2025
$95.9M
-$16.8M
$70.8M
-$15.2M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$20.4M
-$3.0M
Sep 2025
$26.3M
-$4.8M
Dec 2025
$30.8M
-$6.5M
Mar 2026
$31.3M
-$2.3M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
61.5%
Institutional Ownership
17.4%
Short Float
0.5%
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$20.45
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$28.49
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$27.63
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$16.44
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$28.29
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$27.12
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$18.40
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$25.50
resistance
1.29x
0 months ago
$42.00
resistance
1.87x
6 months ago
$13.00
support
1.86x
18 months ago
$7.40
support
3.16x
24 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (41 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.32%
0.00%
41.46%
11.67%
-5.87%
1 Day
-1.19%
-1.12%
36.59%
12.01%
-13.74%
1 Week
0.95%
1.42%
58.54%
28.92%
-41.31%
2 Weeks
5.12%
2.63%
56.10%
76.62%
-40.24%
1 Month
5.70%
-0.98%
47.50%
100.43%
-43.28%
Next earnings: September 2, 2026 (50 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-4.7%
20.0%
10
Feb
11.1%
40.0%
10
Mar
7.3%
60.0%
10
Apr
-2.0%
30.0%
10
May
-5.4%
70.0%
10
Jun
16.1%
50.0%
10
Jul
-6.8%
50.0%
10
Aug
-5.4%
40.0%
10
Sep
13.6%
70.0%
10
Oct
-4.0%
20.0%
10
Nov
-9.2%
30.0%
10
Dec
6.2%
60.0%
10
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.10%
47.6%
473
Tuesday
0.14%
45.8%
522
Wednesday
0.31%
47.6%
519
Thursday
0.04%
45.1%
510
Friday
-0.09%
43.6%
509
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 17.4%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 61.5%
Founder-led management: Jack Jiajia Huang (Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Ting Shu (Co-Founder & Director)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for 51Talk Online Education Group
(COE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.