COE — 51Talk Online Education Group

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About 51Talk Online Education Group

51Talk Online Education Group, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of online education platform with English language education services to students in the Asia-Pacific regions and internationally. It operates online and mobile education platforms that enable students to take live interactive English and Chinese lessons, on demand, fostering the development of all aspects of English and Chinese proficiency. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$25.80
Market Cap$161M
Float115.4M
Shares Outstanding4.3M
P/E (Forward)3.03
Price/Sales (TTM)1.68
vs. Analyst Target-69.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-17.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)-20.43%
Revenue (TTM)$95.6M
Earnings Growth (YoY)116.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.94 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $314M $21.2M $226M $21.9M
2021 $788,000 $18.7M $658,000 -$4.5M
2022 $15.0M -$12.8M $11.9M -$12.3M
2023 $27.1M -$15.0M $20.8M -$13.6M
2024 $50.7M -$7.2M $39.5M -$7.9M
2025 $95.9M -$16.8M $70.8M -$14.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $20.4M -$3.0M
Sep 2025 $26.3M -$4.8M
Dec 2025 $30.8M -$6.5M
Mar 2026 $30.8M -$6.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership35.7%
Institutional Ownership17.4%
Short Float0.0%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$24.66Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$32.85Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$27.51Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.06Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$32.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$26.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.90Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$20.30 support 1.08x 0 months ago
$42.00 resistance 1.87x 4 months ago
$19.90 support 1.78x 10 months ago
$13.00 support 1.86x 16 months ago
$7.40 support 3.16x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (40 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.33% 0.00% 42.50% 11.67% -5.87%
1 Day -1.16% -1.05% 37.50% 12.01% -13.74%
1 Week 1.59% 1.71% 60.00% 28.92% -41.31%
2 Weeks 5.77% 3.89% 57.50% 76.62% -40.24%
1 Month 5.70% -0.98% 47.50% 100.43% -43.28%

Next earnings: June 8, 2026 (9 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-4.7%20.0%10
Feb11.1%40.0%10
Mar7.3%60.0%10
Apr-2.0%30.0%10
May-4.9%77.8%9
Jun22.1%55.6%9
Jul-6.8%50.0%10
Aug-5.4%40.0%10
Sep13.6%70.0%10
Oct-4.0%20.0%10
Nov-9.2%30.0%10
Dec6.2%60.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 48.2% 467
Tuesday 0.15% 45.5% 516
Wednesday 0.34% 47.5% 512
Thursday 0.06% 45.5% 503
Friday -0.07% 43.7% 504

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 17.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 35.7%

Founder-led management: Jack Jiajia Huang (Founder, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Ting Shu (Co-Founder & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value+$70.0M
Net Shares Change3,489,600
% of Float3.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Huang Jack Jiajia Chief Executive Officer +$70.0M 7 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-13 Huang Jack Jiajia Chief Executive Officer +$35.3M Transaction at $20.30, now +27.1%
2026-05-08 Huang Jack Jiajia Chief Executive Officer +$12.2M Transaction at $27.36, now -5.7%
2026-04-22 Huang Jack Jiajia Chief Executive Officer +$9.6M Transaction at $24.83, now +3.9%
2026-05-26 Huang Jack Jiajia Chief Executive Officer +$4.2M Transaction at $26.97, now -4.3%
2026-05-19 Huang Jack Jiajia Chief Executive Officer +$2.1M Transaction at $25.42, now +1.5%
2026-05-13 Huang Jack Jiajia Chief Executive Officer +$2.9M Transaction at $24.48, now +5.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for 51Talk Online Education Group (COE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for COE on Trend Edge →