CNQ — Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in Western Canada, the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. The company offers synthetic crude oil (SCO), mining bitumen, light and medium crude oil and NGLs, thermal bitumen, primary heavy crude oil and Pelican Lake heavy crude oil. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$46.83
Market Cap$101.55B
Float2.03B
Shares Outstanding2.09B
P/E (Forward)11.86
P/E (TTM)11.79
Price/Sales (TTM)2.63
vs. Analyst Target-1.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin25.13%
Operating Margin (TTM)21.78%
Revenue (TTM)$38.63B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-45.30%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$45.94 (22 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $17.49B -$435M $69.0M $6.00B
2021 $32.85B $7.66B $10.58B $16.38B
2022 $49.53B $10.94B $16.26B $21.73B
2023 $40.84B $8.23B $11.77B $17.27B
2024 $35.66B $6.11B $17.58B $16.27B
2025 $44.17B $10.82B $9.40B $21.89B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $9.68B $2.46B
Sep 2025 $9.52B $600M
Dec 2025 $10.71B $5.30B
Mar 2026 $10.84B $1.35B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership80.2%
Short Float1.1%
% of All Funds Holding8.53%
Number of Funds Holding701

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$46.61Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$38.22Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$34.49Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$32.77Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$38.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$34.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$33.85Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$46.00 support 1.78x 1 months ago
$36.20 support 1.18x 2 months ago
$33.70 support 1.44x 3 months ago
$32.00 support 1.04x 5 months ago
$28.40 support 1.64x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (104 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.17% 0.24% 57.69% 3.15% -4.21%
1 Day 0.11% -0.15% 47.12% 6.49% -6.80%
1 Week 0.84% 1.18% 58.65% 19.54% -40.70%
2 Weeks 0.20% 1.01% 56.73% 29.30% -65.53%
1 Month 1.48% 2.20% 57.28% 44.79% -44.91%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%46.2%26
Feb4.2%61.5%26
Mar3.6%65.4%26
Apr4.6%53.8%26
May1.6%48.0%25
Jun0.1%48.0%25
Jul0.3%52.0%25
Aug1.4%50.0%26
Sep-1.7%50.0%26
Oct1.6%53.8%26
Nov1.3%53.8%26
Dec1.9%53.8%26

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 49.6% 1217
Tuesday 0.13% 53.2% 1333
Wednesday 0.07% 50.2% 1332
Thursday 0.07% 51.3% 1306
Friday 0.18% 53.3% 1303

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CNQ on Trend Edge →