CNQ — Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CNQ Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 37, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction37
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Canadian Natural Resources Ltd

Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) in Western Canada, the United Kingdom sector of the North Sea, and Offshore Africa. The company offers synthetic crude oil (SCO), mining bitumen, light and medium crude oil and NGLs, thermal bitumen, primary heavy crude oil and Pelican Lake heavy crude oil. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$50.68
Market Cap$105.20B
Float2.01B
Shares Outstanding2.06B
P/E (Forward)12.39
P/E (TTM)12.60
Price/Sales (TTM)2.35
vs. Analyst Target+0.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin26.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)43.09%
Revenue (TTM)$44.68B
Earnings Growth (YoY)83.80%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$50.69 (22 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $17.49B -$435M $69.0M $6.00B
2021 $32.85B $7.66B $10.58B $16.38B
2022 $49.53B $10.94B $16.26B $21.73B
2023 $40.84B $8.23B $11.77B $17.27B
2024 $35.66B $6.11B $17.58B $16.27B
2025 $44.17B $10.82B $9.40B $21.89B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $9.52B $600M
Dec 2025 $10.71B $5.30B
Mar 2026 $10.84B $1.35B
Jun 2026 $17.21B $4.50B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership78.2%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding8.45%
Number of Funds Holding743

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$45.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$42.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$36.68Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$33.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$42.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$36.77Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$35.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$36.20 support 1.18x 5 months ago
$33.70 support 1.44x 6 months ago
$32.00 support 1.04x 8 months ago
$28.40 support 1.64x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (105 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.16% 0.24% 57.14% 3.15% -4.21%
1 Day 0.11% -0.15% 47.62% 6.49% -6.80%
1 Week 0.88% 1.26% 59.05% 19.54% -40.70%
2 Weeks 0.33% 1.06% 57.14% 29.30% -65.53%
1 Month 1.48% 2.01% 57.69% 44.79% -44.91%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%46.2%26
Feb4.2%61.5%26
Mar3.6%65.4%26
Apr4.6%53.8%26
May1.3%46.2%26
Jun-0.4%46.2%26
Jul1.0%53.8%26
Aug1.4%50.0%26
Sep-1.7%50.0%26
Oct1.6%53.8%26
Nov1.3%53.8%26
Dec1.9%53.8%26

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 49.7% 1229
Tuesday 0.13% 53.1% 1346
Wednesday 0.07% 50.2% 1345
Thursday 0.07% 51.5% 1319
Friday 0.17% 53.2% 1314

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CNQ on Trend Edge →