CMT — Core Molding Technologies Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CMT Bearish with a Setup Score of 31, net conviction 18, actionability 52. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score31
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction18
Actionability52 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Core Molding Technologies Inc

Core Molding Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a molder of thermoplastic and thermoset structural products in the United States, Mexico, Canada, and internationally. The company offers a range of manufacturing processes, such as sheet molding compound compression molding, direct long fiber thermoplastic compression molding, vacuum resin transfer compression molding, structural foam and web injection molding, reaction… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.15
Market Cap$232M
Float7.2M
Shares Outstanding8.8M
P/E (Forward)25.13
P/E (TTM)31.17
Price/Sales (TTM)0.91
vs. Analyst Target+14.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.40%
Revenue (TTM)$254M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-55.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$30.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $222M $8.2M $34.5M $22.1M
2021 $307M $4.7M $41.3M $22.8M
2022 $377M $12.2M $52.4M $28.6M
2023 $358M $20.3M $64.5M $39.7M
2024 $302M $13.3M $53.3M $31.0M
2025 $274M $11.2M $47.6M $27.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $58.4M $1.9M
Dec 2025 $74.7M $3.1M
Mar 2026 $58.6M $605,000
Jun 2026 $62.7M $1.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership11.9%
Institutional Ownership82.4%
Short Float2.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.05%
Number of Funds Holding92

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$24.61Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$22.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.59Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$22.31Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.55Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$27.10 resistance 1.01x 2 months ago
$22.20 support 1.38x 3 months ago
$18.50 support 1.27x 4 months ago
$13.80 support 1.12x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (93 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.12% 0.29% 55.91% 9.99% -15.32%
1 Day 0.76% 0.74% 58.06% 10.09% -14.89%
1 Week 1.68% 1.46% 52.69% 43.18% -20.00%
2 Weeks 3.16% 2.14% 59.14% 50.96% -30.15%
1 Month 4.64% 1.42% 54.35% 70.18% -43.83%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%47.4%38
Feb0.6%44.7%38
Mar3.9%60.5%38
Apr5.2%52.6%38
May11.7%68.4%38
Jun0.2%36.8%38
Jul-0.9%50.0%38
Aug-0.9%45.9%37
Sep-4.4%35.1%37
Oct-2.2%39.5%38
Nov1.5%47.4%38
Dec1.7%42.1%38

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 39.1% 1800
Tuesday 0.00% 40.7% 1959
Wednesday 0.03% 41.3% 1957
Thursday 0.35% 42.2% 1921
Friday 0.25% 43.0% 1911

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 11.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$983,988.63
Net Shares Change-78,613
% of Float-1.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CELLITTI THOMAS R -$242,314.209 4 4 sell
HELLMOLD RALPH O -$110,199.76 1 1 sell
Panda Alex Joseph EVP, Treasurer, Secretary, CFO +$14,136.25 3 3 buy
Gayford Michael James EVP of Operations +$10,060 1 1 buy
PALOMAKI ERIC Chief Operating Officer +$8,020.12 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-01 Panda Alex Joseph EVP, Treasurer, Secretary, CFO +$6,487.25 Transaction at $23.59, now +10.9%
2026-08-10 HELLMOLD RALPH O -$110,199.76 Transaction at $25.82, now +1.3%
2026-03-20 PALOMAKI ERIC Chief Operating Officer +$8,020.12 Transaction at $20.05, now +30.4%
2026-03-19 Gayford Michael James EVP of Operations +$10,060 Transaction at $20.12, now +30.0%
2026-06-22 CELLITTI THOMAS R -$60,172.262 Transaction at $24.00, now +9.0%
2026-06-17 CELLITTI THOMAS R -$52,054.496 Transaction at $25.03, now +4.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CMT on Trend Edge →