CHRD — Chord Energy Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CHRD Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 21, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction21
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Chord Energy Corp

Chord Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company in the United States. The company engages in the acquisition, exploration, development and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Williston Basin. It sells its products to refiners, marketers, and other purchasers that have access to pipeline and rail facilities. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$140.14
Market Cap$8.14B
Float54.2M
Shares Outstanding54.7M
P/E (TTM)9.99
Price/Sales (TTM)1.37
vs. Analyst Target+19.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin14.24%
Operating Margin (TTM)34.72%
Revenue (TTM)$5.96B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-48.20%
Dividend Rate5.2%
Analyst Target Price$167.47 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.08B -$3.69B $240M -$3.55B
2021 $1.58B $320M $670M $377M
2022 $3.65B $1.86B $1.79B $1.78B
2023 $3.90B $1.02B $1.44B $1.97B
2024 $5.25B $849M $1.31B $2.28B
2025 $4.88B $44.5M $315M $1.79B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.31B $130M
Dec 2025 $1.17B $84.4M
Mar 2026 $1.67B $109M
Jun 2026 $2.17B $525M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership103.3%
Short Float6.9%
% of All Funds Holding5.82%
Number of Funds Holding512

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$131.08Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$120.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$110.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$134.07Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$120.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$111.83Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$133.80Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$114.00 support 1.76x 4 months ago
$97.00 support 1.01x 5 months ago
$171.00 resistance 1.02x 23 months ago
$186.00 resistance 2.31x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (52 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.22% 0.00% 48.08% 9.79% -26.11%
1 Day -1.01% -0.96% 42.31% 11.69% -30.81%
1 Week 1.39% 1.43% 59.62% 35.20% -24.80%
2 Weeks 540.39% -1.23% 42.31% 28081.82% -21.66%
1 Month 683.38% 2.51% 52.94% 34727.27% -55.31%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.6%56.3%16
Feb2.0%62.5%16
Mar0.6%56.3%16
Apr12.2%62.5%16
May-1.9%50.0%16
Jun2.0%43.8%16
Jul-1.6%47.1%17
Aug-1.7%37.5%16
Sep-0.5%56.3%16
Oct-2.6%50.0%16
Nov1936.1%50.0%16
Dec-2.5%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.28% 48.9% 763
Tuesday 0.19% 53.6% 837
Wednesday 0.02% 50.8% 834
Thursday 0.08% 49.6% 819
Friday 31.80% 53.2% 817

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$7.5M
Net Shares Change-74,876
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Brooks Douglas E -$2.2M 2 2 sell
Lou Michael H EVP, CSO, and CCO -$1.9M 1 1 sell
Kinney Shannon Browning EVP, CAO, GC & Corp Secretary -$768,622.36 2 2 sell
Robuck Richard N EVP, CFO and Treasurer -$608,750 1 1 sell
Kroll Lara J SVP & Chief Accounting Officer -$568,300 1 1 sell
McKinney Samantha -$299,904 1 1 sell
Henke Darrin J. EVP and COO -$186,257.72 1 1 sell
Holroyd Samantha +$106,875 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-05 – 2026-03-16 5 5 -$3.5M 4 C-suite
2026-08-12 – 2026-08-24 3 3 -$2.9M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 Kinney Shannon Browning EVP, CAO, GC & Corp Secretary -$562,660 Transaction at $140.00, now +0.1%
2026-08-07 Brooks Douglas E -$1.1M Transaction at $133.14, now +5.3%
2026-08-12 McKinney Samantha -$299,904 Transaction at $136.32, now +2.8%
2026-03-16 Lou Michael H EVP, CSO, and CCO -$1.9M Transaction at $125.47, now +11.7%
2026-03-16 Robuck Richard N EVP, CFO and Treasurer -$608,750 Transaction at $121.75, now +15.1%
2026-03-05 Kroll Lara J SVP & Chief Accounting Officer -$568,300 Transaction at $113.66, now +23.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CHRD on Trend Edge →