BSM — Black Stone Minerals LP

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Black Stone Minerals LP

Black Stone Minerals, L.P., together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages oil and natural gas mineral interests. It owns mineral interests in approximately 16.9 million gross acres, nonparticipating royalty interests in 1.8 million gross acres, and overriding royalty interests in 1.6 million gross acres located in 41 states in the United States. The company was founded in 1876 and is based in Houston, Texas.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.28
Market Cap$2.95B
Float177.9M
Shares Outstanding212.5M
P/E (Forward)7.17
P/E (TTM)10.93
Price/Sales (TTM)7.19
vs. Analyst Target+5.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin72.47%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.16%
Revenue (TTM)$410M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-30.50%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$14.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $297M $122M $157M $215M
2021 $506M $182M $382M $249M
2022 $784M $476M $658M $531M
2023 $501M $423M $387M $471M
2024 $439M $271M $335M $320M
2025 $422M $300M $316M $347M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $107M $120M
Sep 2025 $77.9M $91.7M
Dec 2025 $95.2M $72.2M
Mar 2026 $188M $13.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.8%
Institutional Ownership18.6%
Short Float2.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.20%
Number of Funds Holding181

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$13.90Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.99Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.30Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.84Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.05Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.11Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.10 support 1.03x 7 months ago
$15.30 resistance 1.55x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.57% 0.22% 57.78% 9.93% -2.56%
1 Day 0.10% -0.24% 40.00% 8.69% -4.37%
1 Week -0.19% -1.37% 33.33% 20.33% -7.09%
2 Weeks -0.74% -1.12% 42.22% 23.33% -27.32%
1 Month -0.10% -1.13% 45.45% 41.49% -51.51%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.0%54.5%11
Feb-2.2%45.5%11
Mar-2.5%54.5%11
Apr7.7%63.6%11
May-2.5%45.5%11
Jun-1.5%45.5%11
Jul0.1%45.5%11
Aug0.9%45.5%11
Sep1.2%45.5%11
Oct0.9%45.5%11
Nov2.6%54.5%11
Dec-4.8%18.2%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 52.9% 520
Tuesday 0.03% 50.5% 574
Wednesday -0.08% 48.1% 570
Thursday -0.03% 49.5% 560
Friday 0.11% 50.3% 559

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 18.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.8%

Founder-led management: W.T. Carter (Executive Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value+$231,423.771
Net Shares Change35,220
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Carter Thomas L Jr Executive Chairman +$2.9M 7 7 buy
Clark Carrie Pearson SVP, Chief Commercial Officer -$500,338.17 1 1 sell
Putman Luke Stevens SVP, General Counsel, and Sec -$424,677.656 1 1 sell
Longmaid Ashley J -$149,697.194 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-06 – 2026-05-14 5 3 -$515,504.458 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-14 Carter Thomas L Jr Executive Chairman +$15,119.888 Transaction at $13.50, now -1.6%
2026-05-12 Carter Thomas L Jr Executive Chairman +$909,332.687 Transaction at $13.42, now -1.0%
2026-05-13 Longmaid Ashley J -$149,697.194 Transaction at $13.45, now -1.3%
2026-04-07 Putman Luke Stevens SVP, General Counsel, and Sec -$424,677.656 Transaction at $14.45, now -8.1%
2025-09-12 Carter Thomas L Jr CEO, President, and Chairman +$192,313.35 Transaction at $12.57, now +5.7%
2025-09-10 Carter Thomas L Jr CEO, President, and Chairman +$306,500.044 Transaction at $12.08, now +9.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Black Stone Minerals LP (BSM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BSM on Trend Edge →