BGI — Birks Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BGI Bearish with a Setup Score of 77, net conviction 48, actionability 122. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score77
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction48
Actionability122 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Birks Group Inc

Birks Group Inc. engages in designing, developing, marketing, and sale fine jewelry and timepieces in retail locations in Canada. The company operates in two segments, Retail and Other. It offers diamond, gemstone and precious metal jewelry, rings, wedding bands, earrings, bracelets, necklaces, timepieces, and gifts under the Birks brand; giftware and writing instruments; and custom design services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.37
Market Cap$7.5M
Float2.9M
Shares Outstanding12.0M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.04
Profit Margin-1.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.46%
Revenue (TTM)$205M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $143M -$8.9M $56.4M $2.6M
2022 $181M -$1.9M $76.2M $10.3M
2023 $163M -$7.4M $68.0M $1.9M
2024 $185M -$4.6M $73.6M $7.8M
2025 $178M -$12.8M $66.3M $2.2M
2026 $207M -$3.4M $72.5M $10.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $97.7M -$9.7M
Jun 2025 $97.7M -$9.7M
Sep 2025 $94.1M -$2.6M
Jun 2026 $113M -$843,873

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership75.4%
Institutional Ownership2.3%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.10%
Number of Funds Holding9

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$0.47Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$0.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.85Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$2.88Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$0.72Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.20Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$0.40 resistance 3.86x 0 months ago
$1.70 resistance 5.44x 17 months ago
$2.10 resistance 2.39x 20 months ago
$2.70 resistance 1.46x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (67 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.49% 0.00% 25.37% 27.27% -16.77%
1 Day 0.84% 0.00% 35.82% 40.43% -14.84%
1 Week 5.35% -1.59% 37.31% 383.02% -42.86%
2 Weeks 4.84% -1.58% 40.30% 343.40% -38.06%
1 Month 4.44% -3.54% 40.30% 332.08% -44.87%

Next earnings: October 9, 2026 (43 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.6%47.6%21
Feb-4.3%33.3%21
Mar4.1%38.1%21
Apr-3.6%38.1%21
May7.7%52.4%21
Jun0.7%42.9%21
Jul11.0%38.1%21
Aug3.0%45.0%20
Sep-2.2%30.0%20
Oct3.9%50.0%20
Nov-3.7%45.0%20
Dec2.3%33.3%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.13% 34.4% 979
Tuesday 0.38% 34.2% 1072
Wednesday 0.08% 34.9% 1073
Thursday 0.16% 35.4% 1052
Friday 0.37% 35.5% 1047

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 75.4%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Birks Group Inc (BGI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BGI on Trend Edge →