Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates REAL Bullish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 45, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
39
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
45
Actionability
34 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
Fresh Trend Turn — 200wk turn 33w+10wk turn 11w
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 9.68 vs px 11.12)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 5.66 vs px 11.12)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +0.94 · 2.71→2.84
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +0.64 · age 45w×0.80 · 17.72%
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About TheRealReal Inc
The RealReal, Inc. operates an online marketplace for resale luxury goods worldwide. It provides a range of product categories, including women's fashion, men's fashion, jewelry, and watches. The company sells products through its website, online marketplace, mobile app, and retail stores. The RealReal, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Luxury Goods
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: June 28, 2019
Headquarters: 55 Francisco Street, San Francisco, CA, United States, 94133
Founder-Led: Yes — Rati Sahi Levesque (President, CEO & Director)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$10.93
Market Cap
$1.42B
Float
101.9M
Shares Outstanding
121.7M
P/E (Forward)
123.46
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.89
vs. Analyst Target
+64.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-10.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-1.19%
Revenue (TTM)
$750M
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$18.00 (7 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$300M
-$176M
$188M
-$136M
2021
$468M
-$236M
$273M
-$172M
2022
$603M
-$196M
$349M
-$158M
2023
$549M
-$168M
$376M
-$126M
2024
$600M
-$134M
$448M
-$79.4M
2025
$693M
-$41.8M
$484M
$19.3M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$174M
-$54.1M
Dec 2025
$194M
-$38.8M
Mar 2026
$190M
$38.9M
Jun 2026
$193M
-$27.2M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
7.3%
Institutional Ownership
95.2%
Short Float
15.5%
% of All Funds Holding
2.84%
Number of Funds Holding
250
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$11.45
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$11.96
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$9.68
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$5.66
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$12.26
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$9.82
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$6.53
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$7.40
support
1.22x
10 months ago
$5.20
support
1.38x
11 months ago
$3.00
support
1.06x
20 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (30 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
1.84%
0.91%
53.33%
27.95%
-17.26%
1 Day
-0.48%
-2.37%
40.00%
55.93%
-30.73%
1 Week
4.55%
-0.67%
46.67%
106.78%
-26.94%
2 Weeks
-0.36%
-12.70%
40.00%
78.53%
-36.96%
1 Month
4.22%
-4.23%
41.38%
103.39%
-51.17%
Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
0.2%
28.6%
7
Feb
-11.5%
14.3%
7
Mar
-1.8%
14.3%
7
Apr
11.0%
57.1%
7
May
-7.1%
42.9%
7
Jun
5.8%
42.9%
7
Jul
2.7%
62.5%
8
Aug
-7.2%
28.6%
7
Sep
10.8%
57.1%
7
Oct
-3.7%
42.9%
7
Nov
25.5%
71.4%
7
Dec
13.3%
57.1%
7
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.28%
47.3%
338
Tuesday
0.51%
50.8%
372
Wednesday
-0.04%
50.8%
368
Thursday
-0.02%
48.6%
360
Friday
-0.15%
42.6%
359
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 95.2%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 7.3%
Founder-led management: Rati Sahi Levesque (President, CEO & Director)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for TheRealReal Inc
(REAL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.