MOV — Movado Group Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MOV Bullish with a Setup Score of 54, net conviction 47, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score54
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction47
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Movado Group Inc

Movado Group, Inc. designs, sources, markets, and distributes watches worldwide. It operates in two segments, Watch and Accessory Brands, and Company Stores. The company offers its watches under the Movado, Concord, Ebel, Olivia Burton, and MVMT brands, as well as licensed brands comprising Coach, Tommy Hilfiger, HUGO BOSS, Lacoste, Calvin Klein, and KATE SPADE NEW YORK. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$31.57
Market Cap$714M
Float15.8M
Shares Outstanding16.0M
P/E (Forward)21.37
P/E (TTM)17.67
Price/Sales (TTM)1.03
vs. Analyst Target+50.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.00%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.77%
Revenue (TTM)$690M
Earnings Growth (YoY)307.70%
Dividend Rate1.6%
Analyst Target Price$47.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $506M -$111M $270M -$126M
2022 $732M $91.6M $419M $130M
2023 $752M $94.5M $434M $133M
2024 $673M $46.7M $370M $70.3M
2025 $653M $18.4M $353M $36.5M
2026 $671M $26.6M $364M $44.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $186M $9.6M
Jan 2026 $192M $12.6M
Apr 2026 $142M $6.9M
Jul 2026 $170M $12.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.2%
Institutional Ownership96.4%
Short Float7.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.09%
Number of Funds Holding184

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$34.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$30.67Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.05Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$25.14Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$31.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$24.56Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$38.50 resistance 1.13x 1 months ago
$27.20 support 1.34x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.05% 0.00% 49.18% 6.70% -8.44%
1 Day -0.19% 0.29% 53.28% 10.28% -19.01%
1 Week -0.79% -0.72% 45.08% 29.86% -34.27%
2 Weeks -0.86% -0.57% 47.54% 36.11% -31.38%
1 Month 0.12% -0.19% 48.76% 40.28% -23.70%

Next earnings: November 24, 2026 (43 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.6%33.3%33
Feb1.7%60.6%33
Mar1.9%42.4%33
Apr-0.1%48.5%33
May1.3%45.5%33
Jun5.6%69.7%33
Jul-0.2%45.5%33
Aug1.0%48.5%33
Sep1.2%42.4%33
Oct-0.5%51.5%33
Nov3.7%57.6%33
Dec3.2%54.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 45.1% 1563
Tuesday 0.21% 48.1% 1706
Wednesday 0.06% 45.5% 1704
Thursday 0.12% 46.6% 1671
Friday 0.02% 47.4% 1664

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.2%

Founder-led management: Gedalio Grinberg (Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$26,948.1
Net Shares Change-6,141
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
GRINBERG ALEXANDER -$212,451.75 1 1 sell
Kennedy Michelle SVP, Human Resources -$26,948.1 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-01-12 Kennedy Michelle SVP, Human Resources -$26,948.1 Transaction at $20.89, now +51.1%
2026-04-02 GRINBERG ALEXANDER -$212,451.75 Transaction at $43.05, now -26.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Movado Group Inc (MOV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MOV on Trend Edge →