AXTA — Axalta Coating Systems Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Axalta Coating Systems Ltd

Axalta Coating Systems Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, and distributes high-performance coatings systems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through two segments, Performance Coatings and Mobility Coatings. It also offers water and solvent-borne products and systems to repair damaged vehicles for independent body shops, multi-shop operators, and origin… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$30.33
Market Cap$6.23B
Float212.8M
Shares Outstanding214.0M
P/E (Forward)11.16
P/E (TTM)17.04
Price/Sales (TTM)1.22
vs. Analyst Target+16.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.56%
Revenue (TTM)$5.11B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-6.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$35.21 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.74B $122M $1.28B $592M
2021 $4.42B $264M $1.43B $791M
2022 $4.88B $192M $1.42B $700M
2023 $5.18B $267M $5.18B $588M
2024 $5.28B $391M $1.80B $981M
2025 $5.12B $378M $1.67B $1.06B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.30B $109M
Sep 2025 $1.29B $110M
Dec 2025 $1.26B $60.0M
Mar 2026 $1.25B $90.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership107.7%
Short Float3.6%
% of All Funds Holding4.26%
Number of Funds Holding350

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$28.54Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$30.17Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$31.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$31.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$30.43Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$32.17Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$32.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$36.60 resistance 1.07x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (47 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.02% 0.17% 55.32% 7.05% -5.96%
1 Day -0.11% -0.22% 38.30% 16.97% -8.39%
1 Week 0.20% -0.19% 44.68% 15.88% -10.12%
2 Weeks 0.96% 1.17% 53.19% 12.84% -14.91%
1 Month 2.25% 2.02% 54.35% 32.50% -18.86%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%41.7%12
Feb0.1%58.3%12
Mar-3.1%41.7%12
Apr3.1%66.7%12
May2.2%54.5%11
Jun-0.4%27.3%11
Jul0.9%27.3%11
Aug-0.3%63.6%11
Sep-5.5%9.1%11
Oct2.5%54.5%11
Nov5.6%72.7%11
Dec0.9%58.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 50.7% 542
Tuesday 0.01% 51.3% 598
Wednesday 0.16% 51.2% 594
Thursday -0.05% 47.6% 582
Friday 0.07% 51.2% 582

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 107.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$99,205.64
Net Shares Change-3,194
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Tufano Amy SVP and CHRO -$99,205.64 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-21 Tufano Amy SVP and CHRO -$99,205.64 Transaction at $31.06, now -2.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AXTA on Trend Edge →