AVNW — Aviat Networks Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Aviat Networks Inc

Aviat Networks, Inc. provides microwave networking and wireless access networking solutions in North America, Africa, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers outdoor, indoor, and split-mount radios; microwave routers, and trunking; private LTE/5G, virtual fiber, and network management products; narrow band multi-point radios, designed, and optimised for SCADA and telemetry applications; and hosted software… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.79
Market Cap$213M
Float11.6M
Shares Outstanding12.9M
P/E (Forward)5.56
P/E (TTM)23.84
Price/Sales (TTM)0.49
vs. Analyst Target+66.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.26%
Revenue (TTM)$434M
Earnings Growth (YoY)25.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$29.57 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $239M $257,000 $84.7M $11.8M
2021 $303M $21.2M $109M $33.4M
2022 $303M $21.2M $109M $33.4M
2023 $344M $10.2M $122M $28.0M
2024 $408M $10.8M $145M $24.2M
2025 $435M $1.3M $139M $17.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $115M $5.2M
Sep 2025 $107M $162,000
Dec 2025 $111M $5.7M
Mar 2026 $100M -$2.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.3%
Institutional Ownership82.7%
Short Float6.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.48%
Number of Funds Holding122

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.16Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$22.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$21.23Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$26.79Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$22.45Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$21.14Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$26.32Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.00 resistance 1.89x 0 months ago
$15.90 support 1.69x 16 months ago
$27.30 resistance 1.67x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (93 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.36% 0.54% 52.69% 26.49% -37.15%
1 Day 0.10% 0.25% 51.61% 31.42% -34.61%
1 Week -0.18% -1.66% 46.24% 47.82% -32.38%
2 Weeks 0.88% -1.88% 46.24% 67.63% -30.57%
1 Month 2.06% -0.61% 46.74% 84.77% -36.20%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (54 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan14.0%61.5%39
Feb-2.3%43.6%39
Mar-0.2%43.6%39
Apr-3.3%38.5%39
May1.0%42.1%38
Jun-0.8%46.2%39
Jul1.7%53.8%39
Aug0.3%59.0%39
Sep-0.8%51.3%39
Oct1.1%35.9%39
Nov7.5%53.8%39
Dec6.3%61.5%39

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.16% 45.1% 1851
Tuesday -0.11% 43.4% 2017
Wednesday 0.29% 47.3% 2015
Thursday 0.07% 44.1% 1978
Friday 0.16% 45.6% 1967

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$735,986.677
Net Shares Change-176
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SMITH PETE A President and CEO -$284,703.37 2 1 sell
Croke Gary SVP of Product and Innovation -$233,843.827 2 N/A
Boase Erin VP Legal Affairs -$217,439.48 4 N/A
TATEN BRUCE M. -$76,438.52 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-12 TATEN BRUCE M. -$76,438.52 Transaction at $23.39, now -23.9%
2025-11-12 SMITH PETE A President and CEO -$125,136.5 Transaction at $23.39, now -23.9%
2025-07-07 Boase Erin VP Legal Affairs -$140,850 Transaction at $25.00, now -28.8%
2026-02-10 SMITH PETE A President and CEO -$159,566.87 Transaction at $18.66, now -4.7%
2026-02-09 Croke Gary SVP of Product and Innovation -$131,185.545 Transaction at $16.72, now +6.4%
2025-09-03 Croke Gary SVP of Product and Innovation -$102,658.283 Transaction at $18.09, now -1.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Aviat Networks Inc (AVNW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVNW on Trend Edge →