AVNW — Aviat Networks Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AVNW Bearish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 24, actionability 75. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability75 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Aviat Networks Inc

Aviat Networks, Inc. provides microwave networking and wireless access networking solutions in North America, Africa, the Middle East, Europe, Latin America, and the Asia Pacific. The company offers outdoor, indoor, and split-mount radios; microwave routers, and trunking; private LTE/5G, virtual fiber, and network management products; narrow band multi-point radios, designed, and optimised for SCADA and telemetry applications; and hosted software… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$21.65
Market Cap$278M
Float11.6M
Shares Outstanding12.9M
P/E (Forward)6.90
P/E (TTM)29.86
Price/Sales (TTM)0.64
vs. Analyst Target+46.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.26%
Revenue (TTM)$434M
Earnings Growth (YoY)25.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$31.63 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $239M $257,000 $84.7M $11.8M
2021 $303M $21.2M $109M $33.4M
2022 $303M $21.2M $109M $33.4M
2023 $344M $10.2M $122M $28.0M
2024 $408M $10.8M $145M $24.2M
2025 $435M $1.3M $139M $17.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $115M $5.2M
Sep 2025 $107M $162,000
Dec 2025 $111M $5.7M
Mar 2026 $100M -$2.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.4%
Institutional Ownership83.0%
Short Float7.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.48%
Number of Funds Holding122

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$18.79Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$21.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$21.47Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$26.42Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$22.25Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$21.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$25.67Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.80 support 1.26x 0 months ago
$23.00 resistance 2.01x 1 months ago
$15.90 support 1.69x 18 months ago
$27.30 resistance 1.67x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (93 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.36% 0.54% 52.69% 26.49% -37.15%
1 Day 0.10% 0.25% 51.61% 31.42% -34.61%
1 Week -0.18% -1.66% 46.24% 47.82% -32.38%
2 Weeks 0.88% -1.88% 46.24% 67.63% -30.57%
1 Month 2.06% -0.61% 46.74% 84.77% -36.20%

Next earnings: September 9, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan14.0%61.5%39
Feb-2.3%43.6%39
Mar-0.2%43.6%39
Apr-3.3%38.5%39
May0.4%41.0%39
Jun-0.2%47.5%40
Jul1.7%53.8%39
Aug0.3%59.0%39
Sep-0.8%51.3%39
Oct1.1%35.9%39
Nov7.5%53.8%39
Dec6.3%61.5%39

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.17% 45.2% 1857
Tuesday -0.10% 43.5% 2022
Wednesday 0.29% 47.4% 2021
Thursday 0.07% 44.1% 1984
Friday 0.15% 45.6% 1971

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$518,547.198
Net Shares Change5,658
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SMITH PETE A President and CEO -$284,703.37 2 1 sell
Croke Gary SVP of Product and Innovation -$233,843.827 2 N/A
TATEN BRUCE M. -$76,438.52 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-12 TATEN BRUCE M. -$76,438.52 Transaction at $23.39, now -7.4%
2025-11-12 SMITH PETE A President and CEO -$125,136.5 Transaction at $23.39, now -7.4%
2026-02-10 SMITH PETE A President and CEO -$159,566.87 Transaction at $18.66, now +16.0%
2026-02-09 Croke Gary SVP of Product and Innovation -$131,185.545 Transaction at $16.72, now +29.5%
2025-09-03 Croke Gary SVP of Product and Innovation -$102,658.283 Transaction at $18.09, now +19.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Aviat Networks Inc (AVNW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVNW on Trend Edge →