AR — Antero Resources Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Antero Resources Corp

Antero Resources Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the development, production, exploration, and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil properties in the United States. It operates in three segments: Exploration and Production; Marketing; and Equity Method Investment in Antero Midstream. As of December 31, 2025, the company had approximately 537,000 net acres in the Appalachian Basin; and… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$35.11
Market Cap$11.48B
Float292.6M
Shares Outstanding309.8M
P/E (Forward)9.17
P/E (TTM)12.26
Price/Sales (TTM)2.04
vs. Analyst Target+42.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin17.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)36.52%
Revenue (TTM)$5.63B
Earnings Growth (YoY)160.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$50.15 (22 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.08B -$1.27B -$514M -$593M
2021 $5.79B -$187M $2.26B $700M
2022 $8.30B $1.87B $4.59B $3.29B
2023 $4.28B $198M $612M $1.23B
2024 $4.12B $57.2M $327M $860M
2025 $5.01B $634M $1.11B $1.73B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.20B $157M
Sep 2025 $1.13B $76.2M
Dec 2025 $1.28B $194M
Mar 2026 $1.86B $535M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.4%
Institutional Ownership90.3%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding7.21%
Number of Funds Holding593

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$38.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$35.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$35.87Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$31.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$35.73Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$35.64Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$31.20Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (51 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.22% -0.14% 41.18% 15.45% -7.79%
1 Day 0.70% 0.64% 54.90% 21.14% -9.05%
1 Week 1.14% 0.10% 50.98% 21.10% -21.73%
2 Weeks 1.31% -2.13% 45.10% 30.11% -19.96%
1 Month 0.95% 0.50% 52.00% 34.22% -29.38%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%61.5%13
Feb1.6%46.2%13
Mar1.7%69.2%13
Apr25.7%46.2%13
May3.4%58.3%12
Jun-2.7%50.0%12
Jul-2.3%33.3%12
Aug-4.6%41.7%12
Sep-2.0%41.7%12
Oct1.9%41.7%12
Nov-3.5%23.1%13
Dec3.1%38.5%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.17% 49.7% 595
Tuesday 0.07% 52.7% 655
Wednesday 0.10% 49.9% 649
Thursday -0.23% 46.2% 637
Friday 0.16% 50.1% 637

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$11.2M
Net Shares Change-246,604
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kennedy Michael N. Chief Executive Officer and President -$7.3M 1 N/A
Schultz Yvette K Senior Vice President - Legal, Chief Compliance Officer, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$2.9M 2 2 sell
Pearce Sheri Senior Vice President - Accounting and Chief Accounting Officer -$1.3M 1 1 sell
Hardesty Benjamin A. -$960,000 2 N/A
Krueger Brendan E. Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President - Finance and Treasurer +$333,500 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-03 – 2026-03-10 3 3 -$3.1M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-04 Schultz Yvette K Senior Vice President - Legal, Chief Compliance Officer, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$1.6M Transaction at $39.27, now -10.6%
2026-03-10 Pearce Sheri Senior Vice President - Accounting and Chief Accounting Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $38.48, now -8.8%
2026-03-10 Schultz Yvette K Senior Vice President - Legal, Chief Compliance Officer, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary -$1.4M Transaction at $39.08, now -10.2%
2025-11-10 Krueger Brendan E. Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President - Finance and Treasurer +$166,750 Transaction at $33.35, now +5.3%
2025-11-10 Krueger Brendan E. Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President - Finance and Treasurer +$166,750 Transaction at $33.35, now +5.3%
2026-05-04 Kennedy Michael N. Chief Executive Officer and President -$7.3M Transaction at $39.33, now -10.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Antero Resources Corp (AR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AR on Trend Edge →