APA — APA Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates APA Bullish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 30, actionability 41. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction30
Actionability41 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About APA Corporation

APA Corporation, an independent energy company, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. The company has oil and gas operations in the United States, Egypt, and North Sea. It also has exploration and appraisal activities in Suriname, as well as holds interests in projects located in Uruguay and internationally. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$43.81
Market Cap$15.18B
Float348.1M
Shares Outstanding350.4M
P/E (Forward)9.43
P/E (TTM)9.14
Price/Sales (TTM)1.77
vs. Analyst Target+5.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin19.56%
Operating Margin (TTM)56.33%
Revenue (TTM)$8.57B
Earnings Growth (YoY)26.30%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$46.00 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.43B -$4.78B $905M -$2.64B
2021 $7.99B $1.14B $3.54B $3.66B
2022 $11.07B $3.67B $6.25B $7.61B
2023 $8.28B $2.85B $4.23B $4.75B
2024 $9.74B $804M $4.30B $4.17B
2025 $8.92B $1.43B $3.33B $5.43B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.12B $205M
Dec 2025 $1.99B $279M
Mar 2026 $2.33B $446M
Jun 2026 $2.40B $747M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership110.1%
Short Float7.0%
% of All Funds Holding9.13%
Number of Funds Holding803

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$42.66Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$36.34Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$28.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$30.99Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$37.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$29.27Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$30.14Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.50 support 1.04x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.00% 45.90% 14.65% -5.53%
1 Day 0.12% -0.25% 48.36% 17.29% -8.04%
1 Week 0.83% 0.49% 54.10% 22.00% -13.36%
2 Weeks 0.46% 0.46% 54.92% 27.54% -68.24%
1 Month 1.68% 1.03% 52.46% 67.45% -83.18%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.3%48.9%47
Feb0.6%53.2%47
Mar3.0%66.0%47
Apr7.2%63.8%47
May1.2%48.9%47
Jun-0.4%47.9%48
Jul1.3%56.3%48
Aug3.1%58.3%48
Sep-0.9%45.8%48
Oct-0.1%48.9%47
Nov0.4%48.9%47
Dec1.5%51.1%47

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 44.8% 2259
Tuesday 0.00% 46.1% 2448
Wednesday 0.15% 47.6% 2448
Thursday 0.09% 46.3% 2402
Friday 0.14% 47.5% 2387

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 110.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value-$11.8M
Net Shares Change18,641
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings19
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Riney Stephen J President -$1.8M 2 2 sell
Maddox Mark D Executive VP - Administration -$1.1M 3 3 sell
Henderson Tracey K Executive VP Exploration -$754,058.53 2 2 sell
Rodgers Ben C EVP and CFO -$547,255.8 2 2 sell
Rayphole Robert P. VP CAO & Controller -$70,394.308 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-12 12 6 -$7.5M 12 C-suite
2026-01-29 – 2026-01-29 6 6 -$3.9M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-22 Maddox Mark D Executive VP - Administration -$392,392 Transaction at $40.04, now +9.4%
2026-01-06 Riney Stephen J President -$1.4M Transaction at $25.36, now +72.8%
2026-01-12 Rodgers Ben C EVP and CFO -$95,695.64 Transaction at $25.37, now +72.7%
2026-01-12 Riney Stephen J President -$344,473.86 Transaction at $25.37, now +72.7%
2026-01-12 Rayphole Robert P. VP CAO & Controller -$70,394.308 Transaction at $25.29, now +73.2%
2026-01-12 Henderson Tracey K Executive VP Exploration -$139,560.37 Transaction at $25.37, now +72.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for APA Corporation (APA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for APA on Trend Edge →