AMPY — Amplify Energy Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AMPY Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 43, actionability 35. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction43
Actionability35 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Amplify Energy Corp

Amplify Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, development, exploitation, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company's assets consist primarily of the Beta field located in federal waters offshore from the Port of Long Beach, California; and Bairoil properties which include wells and properties primarily located in the Lost Soldier and Wertz fields in Wyoming at Bairoil co… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.58
Market Cap$204M
Float30.8M
Shares Outstanding41.5M
P/E (Forward)28.33
P/E (TTM)9.44
Price/Sales (TTM)0.96
vs. Analyst Target+69.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.62%
Operating Margin (TTM)41.63%
Revenue (TTM)$213M
Earnings Growth (YoY)167.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.75 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $202M -$464M $20.6M -$403M
2021 $343M -$32.1M $173M $8.1M
2022 $458M $57.9M $274M $96.0M
2023 $308M $393M $119M $197M
2024 $295M $12.9M $276M $62.6M
2025 $263M $44.0M $71.8M $109M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $66.4M -$21.0M
Dec 2025 $56.6M $64.4M
Mar 2026 $37.5M -$38.1M
Jun 2026 $52.7M $16.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.5%
Institutional Ownership65.3%
Short Float12.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.49%
Number of Funds Holding131

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.19Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.03Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.45Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.90Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.06Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.90 support 1.07x 0 months ago
$3.20 support 1.36x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (56 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.05% 0.00% 46.43% 20.35% -12.50%
1 Day -0.99% -0.90% 42.86% 17.43% -30.29%
1 Week -2.78% -2.84% 41.07% 30.46% -77.16%
2 Weeks -2.55% -2.01% 46.43% 32.35% -78.13%
1 Month 1.27% -2.97% 45.45% 97.06% -82.21%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.8%42.9%14
Feb-3.9%28.6%14
Mar-1.7%50.0%14
Apr11.3%71.4%14
May-5.4%33.3%15
Jun-5.0%46.7%15
Jul-4.3%40.0%15
Aug3.2%50.0%14
Sep0.5%57.1%14
Oct1099.8%35.7%14
Nov2.2%57.1%14
Dec-3.3%42.9%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 23.48% 45.0% 678
Tuesday 0.01% 43.2% 741
Wednesday -0.00% 46.2% 738
Thursday -0.04% 46.2% 725
Friday 0.11% 44.4% 723

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 65.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$98,750
Net Shares Change-975,000
% of Float-3.2%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
COGHILL CLINT D -$6.5M 1 1 sell
FREW JAMES President and Chief Financial Officer +$98,750 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-23 FREW JAMES President and Chief Financial Officer +$98,750 Transaction at $3.95, now +15.9%
2026-03-17 COGHILL CLINT D -$6.5M Transaction at $6.45, now -29.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Amplify Energy Corp (AMPY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AMPY on Trend Edge →