AFYA — Afya Ltd

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Afya Ltd

Afya Limited operates as a medical education group in Brazil. The company operates in three segments: Undergraduate, Continuing Education, and Medical Practice Solutions. The Undergraduate segment offers educational services through undergraduate courses related to medical school, health sciences, and other non-health undergraduate programs, including medicine, dentistry, nursing, radiology, psychology, pharmacy, physical education, physiotherapy… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.06
Market Cap$1.27B
Float6.1M
Shares Outstanding50.4M
P/E (Forward)7.13
P/E (TTM)8.57
Price/Sales (TTM)0.34
vs. Analyst Target+20.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)38.87%
Revenue (TTM)$3.77B
Earnings Growth (YoY)3.20%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$16.95 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.20B $292M $767M $473M
2021 $1.72B $223M $1.07B $603M
2022 $2.33B $374M $1.47B $929M
2023 $2.88B $386M $1.77B $1.11B
2024 $3.30B $632M $2.09B $1.22B
2025 $3.62B $738M $2.34B $1.19B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $919M $172M
Sep 2025 $929M $155M
Dec 2025 $927M $176M
Mar 2026 $994M $252M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership76.5%
Institutional Ownership19.8%
Short Float6.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.62%
Number of Funds Holding51

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.65Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$15.73Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.80Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.07Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.40 support 1.08x 1 months ago
$15.60 resistance 1.26x 6 months ago
$17.80 resistance 1.01x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (28 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.26% 0.23% 57.14% 10.36% -8.46%
1 Day -0.05% 1.66% 67.86% 11.16% -30.23%
1 Week 2.47% 3.74% 75.00% 13.11% -26.54%
2 Weeks 2.88% 3.31% 64.29% 22.44% -25.61%
1 Month 3.97% 7.04% 62.96% 24.35% -19.81%

Next earnings: May 27, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.21% 48.8% 322
Tuesday 0.30% 51.1% 356
Wednesday -0.07% 49.1% 352
Thursday 0.30% 52.5% 345
Friday -0.27% 42.9% 345

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 19.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 76.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$1.9M
Net Shares Change-125,357
% of Float-2.0%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gibbon Virgilio Deloy Capobianco Chief Executive Officer -$748,833.954 4 4 sell
Junior Lelio de Souza Vice President -$636,491.22 2 2 sell
GRIFO DE SOUSA ANIBAL JOSE VP Legal, Comp., and Gov Rel. -$291,769.4 2 2 sell
Blanco Luis Andre Carpintero Chief Financial Officer -$152,000 1 1 sell
FERREIRA SANTOS WELDER Controller -$52,867.5 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-27 – 2026-04-10 8 4 -$1.6M 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-14 GRIFO DE SOUSA ANIBAL JOSE VP Legal, Comp., and Gov Rel. -$215,769.4 Transaction at $15.41, now -8.8%
2026-04-10 Blanco Luis Andre Carpintero Chief Financial Officer -$152,000 Transaction at $15.20, now -7.5%
2026-04-09 Junior Lelio de Souza Vice President -$399,957.35 Transaction at $14.95, now -6.0%
2026-04-20 FERREIRA SANTOS WELDER Controller -$52,867.5 Transaction at $15.90, now -11.6%
2026-04-09 GRIFO DE SOUSA ANIBAL JOSE VP Legal, Comp., and Gov Rel. -$76,000 Transaction at $15.20, now -7.5%
2026-04-06 Gibbon Virgilio Deloy Capobianco Chief Executive Officer -$323,725.963 Transaction at $14.94, now -5.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Afya Ltd (AFYA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AFYA on Trend Edge →