YALA — Yalla Group Ltd

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Yalla Group Ltd

Yalla Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates a social networking and gaming platform in the Middle East and North Africa region. It offers mobile applications, including Yalla, a voice-centric group chat platform; and Yalla Ludo, a casual gaming application. The company's platform provides group chatting and games services; and consume virtual currencies to purchase virtual items, as well as provides upgrade services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.22
Market Cap$922M
Float48.0M
Shares Outstanding127.1M
P/E (Forward)14.16
P/E (TTM)7.68
Price/Sales (TTM)2.73
vs. Analyst Target+35.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin42.03%
Operating Margin (TTM)29.69%
Revenue (TTM)$337M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-20.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.43 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $135M $3.2M $73.7M $4.3M
2021 $273M $82.6M $178M $85.3M
2022 $304M $79.8M $190M $82.8M
2023 $319M $117M $204M $98.4M
2024 $340M $136M $219M $124M
2025 $342M $150M $230M $122M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $84.6M $36.8M
Sep 2025 $89.6M $41.1M
Dec 2025 $83.9M $34.9M
Mar 2026 $79.0M $28.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership34.4%
Institutional Ownership44.9%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.85%
Number of Funds Holding70

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.53Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.98Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.26Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.25Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.53Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.30 support 4.08x 12 months ago
$4.00 support 2.37x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.57% 0.12% 52.17% 12.32% -5.08%
1 Day 1.09% -0.53% 47.83% 21.61% -9.47%
1 Week -2.75% -3.00% 31.82% 27.08% -25.16%
2 Weeks -0.48% -0.86% 36.36% 30.71% -22.58%
1 Month 3.27% -0.75% 50.00% 96.32% -20.60%

Next earnings: August 7, 2026 (71 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.48% 48.9% 264
Tuesday 0.01% 47.8% 293
Wednesday 0.09% 49.1% 291
Thursday -0.06% 46.1% 284
Friday -0.06% 46.3% 285

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 44.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 34.4%

Founder-led management: Jin Tao Yang (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer), Jian Feng Xu (Director and Chief Operating Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Yalla Group Ltd (YALA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for YALA on Trend Edge →